Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 22

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Gela		Sancataldese

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.51	3.61	Watch
	1.83	3.4	3.83
	1.88	3.5	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (1.87)	3.47 ↑ (3.35)	3.65 ↑ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gela
48.8%

Draw
26.2%

Sancataldese
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

26.6%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

23.4%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Sancataldese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gela than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gela that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sancataldese than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Gela - Sancataldese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
69', 1 - 0, Petta A. ⚽,
72', 2 - 0, Petta A. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: )).

Gela has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sancataldese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gela could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gela won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Gela won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Gela	6	1	2	3	4:6	-2	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Città di Gela
Italian Serie D - Group I
25.01.26	Vigor Lamezia - Gela	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Gela - ACR Messina	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Ragusa - Gela	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Gela - Savoia	1:2 ✺
21.12.25	Gela - Gelbison Cilento	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWLL
- Sancataldese Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
25.01.26	Sancataldese - Milazzo	1:2 ✺
17.01.26	Athletic Palermo - Sancataldese	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	ACR Messina - Sancataldese	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Sancataldese - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:3 ✺
21.12.25	Sancataldese - Savoia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
17.03.19	Sancataldese - Gela	1:3
14.11.18	Gela - Sancataldese	2:1
18.03.18	Gela - Sancataldese	2:2
01.11.17	Sancataldese - Gela	0:0
04.12.16	Gela - Sancataldese	0:0

Gela - Sancataldese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide