Match Info

Serie D - Group I - Round 21

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday


	Igea Virtus Barcellona		Athletic Palermo

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	2.78
	2.25	3.46	2.78	Watch
	2.27	3.38	2.74
	2.25	3.33	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.23)	3.37 ↑ (3.33)	2.78 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Igea Virtus Barcellona
40.4%

Draw
26.9%

Athletic Palermo
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.2%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

28.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igea Virtus Barcellona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Athletic Palermo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igea Virtus Barcellona than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Palermo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Igea Virtus Barcellona - Athletic Palermo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Samake B. ⚽,
45', Calafiore C. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group I (Play Offs: )).

Igea Virtus has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Athletic Palermo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Igea Virtus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Igea Virtus won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Igea Virtus	6	3	2	1	14:11	3	11
9	Athletic Palermo	6	2	2	2	9:8	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Igea Virtus Barcellona
Italian Serie D - Group I
18.01.26	Acireale - Igea Virtus Barcellona	3:3 ✺
11.01.26	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Milazzo	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sancataldese - Igea Virtus Barcellona	0:3 ✺
21.12.25	Igea Virtus Barcellona - Vigor Lamezia	1:1 ✺
14.12.25	ACR Messina - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWWTL
- Athletic Palermo
Italian Serie D - Group I
17.01.26	Athletic Palermo - Sancataldese	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Vigor Lamezia - Athletic Palermo	2:3 ✺
04.01.26	Athletic Palermo - ACR Messina	4:0 ✺
21.12.25	Athletic Palermo - Ragusa	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Savoia - Athletic Palermo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group I
24.09.25	Athletic Palermo - Igea Virtus Barcellona	2:2

Igea Virtus Barcellona - Athletic Palermo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide