The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Athletico Paranaense 45.8%
Draw 26.4%
Vasco da Gama 27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.4%
25.6%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Athletico Paranaense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Vasco da Gama have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Athletico Paranaense - Vasco da Gama Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
An upper-table contender faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athletico PR won 1.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Athletico PR is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Athletico PR has recorded 9 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:15 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Athletico PR against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 21:5 goals (averaging 2.3:0.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Athletico-PR
32
15
9
8
50:38
12
54
13
Vasco
31
10
8
13
39:45
-6
38
Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now
Athletico-PR: 0.04%
Last Results with these Odds
Athletico Paranaense - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.76%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Vasco da Gama - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 27.81%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.