Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 1

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estádio José Pinheiro Borda (Porto Alegre)

Referee: Rodrigues F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Mexico	Fanatiz
Usa	Fanatiz


	Internacional RS		Athletico Paranaense

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.4	4.75	Watch
	1.82	3.35	4.45	Watch
	1.81	3.47	5.09
	1.78	3.51	4.97	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.6
	1.83	3.48	4.79	Watch
	1.8	3.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.94)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)	4.81 ↑ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Internacional RS
52.7%

Draw
27.7%

Athletico Paranaense
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

28.8%

23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

28.5%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Internacional RS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Athletico Paranaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Internacional RS than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	10%	20%

Internacional RS - Athletico Paranaense Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Internacional will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Athletico PR will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Internacional: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Internacional (1.21) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Internacional (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rochet S. (G) 15. Bruno Gomes 4. Torres F. 41. Victor Gabriel 26. Bernabei A. 16. Ronaldo 8. Bruno Henrique 28. Vitinho 10. Alan Patrick (C) 17. Bruno Tabata 19. Borre R.	23. Santos (G) 13. Teran C. 33. Aguirre F. 4. Arthur Dias 27. Portilla J. 29. Benavidez G. 61. Leo Derik 10. Zapelli B. 20. Julimar 9. Viveros K. 7. Mendoza S.
Substitutes
35. Aguirre B. 30. Alisson 31. Allex 24. Anthoni (G) 7. Carbonero J. 49. Joao Bezerra 44. Joao Victor 18. Juninho 25. Mercado G. 27. Paulinho Paula 48. Raykkonen 5. Villagra R.	63. Diogo Riquelme 53. Dudu Kogitzki 37. Esquivel L. 2. Gilberto Junior 16. Jadson 57. Joao Cruz 3. Leo 21. Leozinho 19. Luiz Fernando 42. Mateus Soares (G) 1. Mycael (G) 31. Raul
Coaches
Pezzolano P.	Hellmann O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Mendoza S. ⚽, Viveros K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bruno Tabata ↓, Carbonero J. ↑,
55', Portilla J. 🟨,
65', Mendoza S. ↓, Dudu Kogitzki ↑,
65', Bruno Gomes ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
66', Bruno Henrique ↓, Paulinho Paula ↑,
66', Portilla J. ↓, Jadson ↑,
72', Victor Gabriel 🟨,
74', Bernabei A. 🟨,
75', Ronaldo ↓, Villagra R. ↑,
80', Teran C. ↓, Leo ↑,
81', Julimar ↓, Luiz Fernando ↑,
82', Paulinho Paula 🟨,
85', Zapelli B. ↓, Diogo Riquelme ↑,
90', Alan Patrick ↓, Raykkonen ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 1.

Internacional is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Athletico PR has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Internacional may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Internacional is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Athletico PR: Isaac (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Internacional won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Internacional won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.5:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Athletico-PR	29	14	8	7	45:34	11	50
17	Internacional	29	7	10	12	32:37	-5	31

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Internacional RS
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
25.01.26	Internacional RS - Grêmio	4:2 ✺
21.01.26	Internacional RS - Inter Santa Maria	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Ypiranga - Internacional RS	2:1 ✺
15.01.26	Monsoon - Internacional RS	0:4 ✺
11.01.26	Internacional RS - Novo Hamburgo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLWW
- Athletico Paranaense
Brazilian Campeonato Paranaense
24.01.26	Athletico Paranaense - Galo Maringá	4:1 ✺
20.01.26	Azuriz - Athletico Paranaense	2:1 ✺
17.01.26	Athletico Paranaense - Coritiba	0:1 ✺
14.01.26	Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Cianorte - Athletico Paranaense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
11.08.24	Internacional RS - Athletico Paranaense	2:2
21.04.24	Athletico Paranaense - Internacional RS	1:0
21.09.23	Athletico Paranaense - Internacional RS	2:1
10.05.23	Internacional RS - Athletico Paranaense	0:2
05.11.22	Internacional RS - Athletico Paranaense	2:0
16.07.22	Athletico Paranaense - Internacional RS	0:0
13.11.21	Internacional RS - Athletico Paranaense	2:1

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