Match Info

IRELAND: FAI Cup - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 September 2024, Friday

Location: Lissywoollen (Athlone)

Where to Watch on TV:


Ireland	LOI TV


	Athlone Town		Drogheda United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.75	3.6	1.58
	4.75	3.75	1.6
	5.11	3.98	1.63
	5.19	3.96	1.61	Watch
	5	3.7	1.57
	4.88	3.74	1.65	Watch
	4.75	3.75	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.92 ↑ (3.34)	3.78 ↑ (3.56)	1.61 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Athlone Town
18.6%

Draw
24.2%

Drogheda United
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

26%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.1%

25.4%

47.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athlone Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athlone Town's form might have worsened.

Drogheda United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Drogheda United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athlone Town than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athlone Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drogheda United than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Drogheda United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Athlone Town - Drogheda United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Drogheda United will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Minogue E. (G) 4. van Geenen N. 15. Forbes S. 5. McKenna D. 22. Torre B. 8. Connolly A. 18. Duffy O. 14. Oakley A. 24. Tetteh G. 9. Ebbe D. 21. Gaxha L.	36. Dennison L. (G) 2. Ahui E. 4. Quinn A. 23. Kane C. 18. Bolger J. 15. Webster D. 10. James-Taylor D. 7. Markey D. 19. Brennan R. (C) 21. Heeney L. 9. Pierrot F.
Substitutes
30. Axworthy L. (G) 26. Babatunde A. 31. Byrne A. 17. Huyinh M. 23. Leal M. 0. Martin-Conway K. 16. McGregor P. 12. McHugh M. 11. Robinson K.	25. Bosakani B. 24. Davis W. 8. Deegan G. 11. Foley A. 5. Harper-Bailey A. 6. Keaney J. 22. McNally A. 14. O'Brien M. 1. Wogan A. (G)
Coaches
Castelo D.	Doherty K.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athlone Town won 1.

Athlone Town is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Drogheda United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Athlone Town could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Drogheda United is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Athlone Town won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 26-40.

Including matches at home between the teams Athlone Town won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athlone Town
Irish Division 1
06.09.24	Athlone Town - Finn Harps	1:4 ✺
30.08.24	Wexford - Athlone Town	2:1 ✺
23.08.24	Athlone Town - Bray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
16.08.24	Waterford - Athlone Town	2:3 ET ✺
Irish Division 1
12.08.24	Athlone Town - Wexford	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 LLLWL
- Drogheda United
Irish Premier Division
01.09.24	St Patricks Athletic - Drogheda United	4:1 ✺
23.08.24	Drogheda United - Sligo Rovers	7:0 ✺
Irish FAI Cup
16.08.24	Drogheda United - Wilton United	9:0 ✺
Irish Premier Division
11.08.24	Shamrock Rovers - Drogheda United	1:1 ✺
02.08.24	Drogheda United - Bohemians Dublin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Irish FAI Cup
29.07.22	Drogheda United - Athlone Town	5:1
Club Friendly
29.01.22	Athlone Town - Drogheda United	2:2
Irish Division 1
02.10.20	Drogheda United - Athlone Town	0:2
14.08.20	Athlone Town - Drogheda United	3:3
30.08.19	Athlone Town - Drogheda United	0:2
08.06.19	Drogheda United - Athlone Town	4:2
05.04.19	Athlone Town - Drogheda United	3:5

Upcoming Matches