The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Athlone Town 29.7%
Draw 26.2%
Bray Wanderers 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
26.3%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.5%
25.8%
40%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Athlone Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Bray Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athlone Town than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bray Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Athlone Town - Bray Wanderers Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Athlone Town (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Athlone Town (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Clarke B. (G) 27. Crawford J. 7. Connolly D. 5. O'Connor E. 29. Kehir J. 11. McManus B. 24. Cleary C. 19. Smith W. 14. Lomboto G. 18. Grogan P. 16. Lawless Z.
13. Hogan R. (G) 2. Kizenga A. 4. Duggan J. 12. Osagie D. 27. O'Shea D. (C) 11. Achara I. 16. Tucker K. 17. Oluwabiyi A. 18. McCormack B. 23. Ryan J. 21. Mustali E.
Substitutes
36. Ayinde A. 23. Considine T. 33. Farnham J. 9. Ferry P. 10. Lyons R. 13. Trainor A. (G) 2. Webb R. 34. Zalewski J.
14. Azede N. 30. Cheese E. 15. Kelly R. 7. Knight C. 25. McGuinnes S. (G) 20. Sammy T. 6. Sesay J. B. 33. Shelley B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Mustali E. ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Smith W. ⚽,
41', O'Connor E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Lawless Z. ↓, Lyons R. ↑,
50', McManus B. 🟨,
51', Achara I. 🟨,
60', Achara I. ↓, Sammy T. ↑,
60', Tucker K. ↓, Sesay J. B. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Grogan P. ⚽,
71', Kizenga A. ↓, Kelly R. ↑,
71', O'Shea D. ↓, Shelley B. ↑,
79', Lyons R. 🟨,
79', Grogan P. ↓, Ferry P. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Athlone Town won 1.
Recent performances by Athlone Town have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bray Wanderers's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Athlone Town won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 16:37. (average 0.8:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Athlone Town won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1:1.4).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Bray
35
15
9
11
67:51
16
54
7
Athlone
35
13
9
13
42:42
0
48
Last Results with these Odds
Athlone Town - the odds 2.81 are the expected chance of winning is 32.77%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.