Match Info

IRELAND: DIVISION 1 - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 24 October 2023, Tuesday


	Athlone Town		Waterford

	1	X	2
	6	4.4	1.39
	6.5	4.5	1.42
	6.3	5.03	1.44
	6.3	5.03	1.44
	6.5	4.5	1.36
	6.55	4.7	1.4
	6.2	4.6	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.34 ↑ (4.2)	4.68 ↑ (3.9)	1.41 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Athlone Town
14.6%

Draw
19.8%

Waterford
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

23.3%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21%

22.6%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Athlone Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Athlone Town's form might have worsened.

Waterford has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Waterford's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athlone Town than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Athlone Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Waterford than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Waterford, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Athlone Town - Waterford Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Minogue E. (G) 4. van Geenen N. 2. Fuentes Rodriguez G. 6. Hickey P. 27. Baker M. 5. McKenna D. 10. Dolya V. 18. Duffy O. (C) 20. Campion-Hinds J. 8. Connolly A. 9. Pierrot F.	31. Sargeant S. (G) 2. Power D. 22. Phillips G. (C) 5. Perry S. 3. Burke R. 8. Baggley B. 23. Akachukwu R. 6. McDonald R. 20. Idowu R. 19. Coughlan R. 10. Parsons C.
Substitutes
26. Curtin D. 15. Forbes S. 11. Gavin D. 3. Kavanagh J. 25. Leal M. 24. McGlone J. 40. O'Donnell S. (G) 7. Orrego D. 22. Zubkov N.	16. Baker A. 24. Cantwell K. 18. Cresswell C. 7. Griffin S. 1. Martin P. (G) 27. McMenamy D. 15. Nevin H. 4. O'Keeffe N. 21. Pattisson C.

Preview

1st leg.

Waterford United is Qualified for Division 1 (Play Offs )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Athlone Town won 1.

Athlone Town has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Waterford United is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Waterford United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Waterford United is absolute favorite.

Last 21 head-to-head matches Athlone Town won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 30-52.

Including matches at home between the teams Athlone Town won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 19-33.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Athlone Town
Irish Division 1
20.10.23	Athlone Town - Longford Town	0:0 ✺
14.10.23	Finn Harps - Athlone Town	4:1 ✺
06.10.23	Athlone Town - Bray Wanderers	0:1 ✺
29.09.23	Galway United - Athlone Town	6:0 ✺
22.09.23	Treaty United - Athlone Town	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL
- Waterford FC
Irish Division 1
20.10.23	Waterford - Treaty United	2:0 ✺
14.10.23	Kerry - Waterford	1:1 ✺
10.10.23	Galway United - Waterford	3:1 ✺
29.09.23	Waterford - Wexford	0:0 ✺
22.09.23	Longford Town - Waterford	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Irish Division 1
01.09.23	Waterford - Athlone Town	1:2
28.07.23	Athlone Town - Waterford	1:1
21.04.23	Waterford - Athlone Town	4:3
10.03.23	Athlone Town - Waterford	0:1
21.10.22	Waterford - Athlone Town	4:2
27.06.22	Athlone Town - Waterford	2:5
02.05.22	Waterford - Athlone Town	1:0

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