Match Info

Date: 20 March 2021, Saturday


	Atlético Astorga		Cristo Atlético

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.95	2.63
	2.65	3.15	2.38
	2.73	3.27	2.41
	2.7	3.15	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.4)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	2.48 ↓ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
34.7%

Draw
28.9%

Cristo Atlético
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

21.6%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Cristo Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Astorga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cristo Atlético than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cristo Atlético could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Astorga - Cristo Atlético Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Recent matches Atlético Astorga is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Cristo Atlético is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Cristo Atlético could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético Astorga won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Astorga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
06.03.21	Atlético Astorga - Bembibre	2:0 ✺
28.02.21	La Bañeza - Atlético Astorga	0:0 ✺
21.02.21	Atlético Astorga - Leonesa B	1:0 ✺
17.02.21	Atlético Astorga - La Virgen del Camino	0:1 ✺
14.02.21	Becerril - Atlético Astorga	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTWLT
- CF Cristo Atlético
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.03.21	Cristo Atlético - La Virgen del Camino	3:1 ✺
24.02.21	Cristo Atlético - Salamanca B	3:1 ✺
21.02.21	Cristo Atlético - Santa Marta Tormes	1:0 ✺
17.02.21	Peñaranda - Cristo Atlético	0:1 ✺
14.02.21	Bembibre - Cristo Atlético	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
03.02.21	Cristo Atlético - Atlético Astorga	1:0
24.03.19	Cristo Atlético - Atlético Astorga	0:2
04.11.18	Atlético Astorga - Cristo Atlético	1:2
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
16.12.17	Atlético Astorga - Cristo Atlético	1:0

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