Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 28

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Atlético Astorga		Gimnástica Segoviana

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.8	2.45
	3.05	2.88	2.3
	3.45	2.93	2.4
	3.03	2.84	2.47	Watch
	3	2.75	2.38
	3.23	2.92	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↑ (2.69)	2.85 ↓ (3.07)	2.4 (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Atlético Astorga
29.6%

Draw
32.1%

Gimnástica Segoviana
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.2%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

29.1%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Astorga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Gimnástica Segoviana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Astorga than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnástica Segoviana than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Atlético Astorga - Gimnástica Segoviana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 1 - 0, Albertin ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, Castro A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 1, Cervero A. ⚽,
60', 2 - 2, Llorente F. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Atlético Astorga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

G Segoviana's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Atlético Astorga won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Atlético Astorga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Atl. Astorga	5	1	0	4	5:7	-2	3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Astorga
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
15.03.26	Numancia - Atlético Astorga	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Atlético Astorga - Marino de Luanco	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Sámano - Atlético Astorga	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Atlético Astorga - Langreo	1:0 ✺
14.02.26	Real Oviedo B - Atlético Astorga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.9 WWWWL
- Gimnástica Segoviana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
14.03.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Deportivo A Coruña B	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Lealtad - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Marino de Luanco	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Langreo - Gimnástica Segoviana	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Gimnástica Segoviana - Bergantiños	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
30.11.25	Gimnástica Segoviana - Atlético Astorga	1:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
01.05.21	Atlético Astorga - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:2

Upcoming Matches