The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Baleares 63.5%
Draw 23.3%
Barbastro 13.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.8%
25.6%
18.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.1%
23%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Baleares has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Baleares's performance.
Barbastro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barbastro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Baleares that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barbastro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Atlético Baleares - Barbastro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Morillo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15 in the zone Relegation).
In recent matches, Baleares has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Barbastro's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Baleares is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Baleares won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.