Match Info

Liga Women - Round 11

Date: 15 May 2026, Friday

Location: Cancha Marte - UMT (Bucaramanga)


	Atlético Bucaramanga		Inter Palmira

	1	X	2
	5.15	3.7	1.55
	4.9	3.83	1.63
	5.73	3.7	1.54	Watch
	4.8	3.4	1.6
	5.44	3.53	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.2 ↓ (5.68)	3.63 ↑ (3.35)	1.59 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Bucaramanga
17.5%

Draw
25.1%

Inter Palmira
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.1%

27.3%

56.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.5%

26.4%

58.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Inter Palmira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Inter Palmira than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Atlético Bucaramanga - Inter Palmira Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Quiroga S. (G) 22. Ibarguen L. 4. Alcendra D. 21. Gomez M. 14. Gomez V. 24. Mantilla T. 8. Rodriguez S. (C) 9. Padilla Y. 11. Tobo N. 10. Rojas M. 7. Nino B.	1. Dominguez J. (G) 2. Vasquez S. 5. Guzman D. 16. Montano L. 15. Caicedo A. 6. Caro J. (C) 26. Ruiz D. 9. Caicedo S. 20. Pavas A. 11. Perez L. 8. Montano K.
Substitutes
17. Candelo L. 6. Cardona I. 16. Henao A. 1. Montanez A. (G) 23. Ojeda M. 19. Palomeque M. 20. Rojas S. 13. Sanchez N. 5. Siso K.	12. Aguilar A. (G) 14. Castro A. 30. Correa K. 24. Martinez M. 25. Meneses A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Mantilla T. 🟨,
12', Montano L. 🟨,
20', Alcendra D. ↓, Henao A. ↑,
45', Padilla Y. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Montano K. ⚽, Caicedo S. (A),
45+2', Caicedo S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mantilla T. ↓, Siso K. ↑,
58', Nino B. 🟨,
65', Caicedo A. 🟨,
67', Tobo N. ↓, Rojas S. ↑,
67', Padilla Y. ↓, Palomeque M. ↑,
77', Pavas A. ↓, Meneses A. ↑,
87', Gomez M. ↓, Cardona I. ↑,
89', Henao A. 🟨,
89', Caicedo A. 🟨,
90+2', Caicedo S. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
90+4', Perez L. ↓, Castro A. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Women (Promotion Group: )).

Bucaramanga has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Inter Palmira has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Inter Palmira is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bucaramanga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bucaramanga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:5. (average 0:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Bucaramanga Women
Colombian Liga Women
10.05.26	Independiente Medellín - Atlético Bucaramanga	3:0 ✺
02.05.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Real Santander	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Inter Bogotá - Atlético Bucaramanga	4:0 ✺
12.04.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Orsomarso	1:1 ✺
30.03.26	Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWLTL
- Inter Palmira Women
Colombian Liga Women
11.05.26	Inter Palmira - Atlético Nacional	0:1 ✺
03.05.26	Orsomarso - Inter Palmira	0:0 ✺
23.04.26	Inter Palmira - Fortaleza CEIF	3:1 ✺
12.04.26	Llaneros - Inter Palmira	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Deportivo Cali - Inter Palmira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Liga Women
29.03.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Inter Palmira	0:1
23.05.23	Atlético Bucaramanga - Inter Palmira	0:4
02.03.22	Inter Palmira - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:0

Atlético Bucaramanga - Inter Palmira: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide