Match Info

Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 6 May 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Américo Montanini (Bucaramanga) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
Argentina	19:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	08:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Brazil	19:00	Paramount+
Canada	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	18:00	Disney+, ESPN Premium
Colombia	17:00	Disney+, ESPN
Indonesia	05:00	Mola TV
Israel	01:00	Sport 3
Italy	00:00	Como TV
Mexico	16:00	Disney+
Peru	17:00	Disney+
Russia	01:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ESPN 2 South
Uruguay	19:00	Disney+
Usa	18:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Venezuela	18:00	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Atlético Bucaramanga		Racing

	1	X	2
	3	3.25	2.5	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.25
	2.95	3.2	2.45	Watch
	3.04	3.23	2.5
	2.94	3.22	2.51	Watch
	3.3	3	2.2	Watch
	3.03	3.19	2.51	Watch
	2.95	3.2	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.21)	3.17 ↓ (3.21)	2.42 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Bucaramanga
31%

Draw
29.9%

Racing
39.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.5%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	30.8%	61.5%

Atlético Bucaramanga - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Racing will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 3 - 25%). Racing (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Bucaramanga (2.14) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Racing (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Racing (votes: 9 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Quintana A. (G) 19. Gutierrez A. 23. Romana C. 29. Henao C. 8. Hinestroza F. 22. Fabry (C) 28. Flores L. 70. Castaneda F. 10. Sambueza F. 7. Londono K. 97. Penaranda A.	21. Arias G. (C) 23. Colombo N. 13. Sosa S. 2. Garcia A. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 28. Solari S. 5. Nardoni J. 19. Rodriguez I. 32. Almendra A. E. 7. Salas M. 9. Adrian Martinez
Substitutes
17. Andrade A. 18. Blanco J. 30. Cardenas S. 15. Chavez D. 24. Duarte B. 4. Garcia J. 11. Jhon Vasquez 2. Mena J. 14. Mosquera J. 9. Ponce A. 12. Vasquez Caicedo L. E. (G) 25. Zapata C.	77. Balboa A. 16. Barrios M. 25. Cambeses F. (G) 41. Degregorio R. M. 3. Di Cesare M. 24. Fernandez A. 20. German Conti 1. Gomez F. (G) 34. Mura F. 35. Quiros S. 26. Sanchez R. 10. Vietto L.
Coaches
Alvarez L.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Adrian Martinez ⚽,
33', Sambueza F. 🟨,
44', Solari S. 🟨,
45', Romana C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Castaneda F. ↓, Chavez D. ↑,
46', Flores L. ↓, Jhon Vasquez ↑,
56', 0 - 2, Solari S. ⚽, Adrian Martinez (A),
66', Salas M. 🟨,
69', 0 - 3, Sosa S. ⚽, Rodriguez I. (A),
72', Almendra A. E. 🟨,
73', Almendra A. E. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
78', Solari S. ↓, Mura F. ↑,
79', Salas M. ↓, Vietto L. ↑,
80', Londono K. ↓, Ponce A. ↑,
85', Adrian Martinez ↓, Balboa A. ↑,
90+4', 0 - 4, Barrios M. ⚽,

Preview

Bucaramanga has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Racing is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bucaramanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Bucaramanga: Sambueza F. (Inactive)

There will not play in Racing: Balboa A. (Inactive) Rojas G. (Knee Injury) Zaracho M. (Injury) Zuculini B. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Bucaramanga: Zarate A. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bucaramanga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
03.05.25	Llaneros SA - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
27.04.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Millonarios	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
23.04.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Colombian Primera A
20.04.25	Unión Magdalena - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:1 ✺
17.04.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Envigado	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTTW
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.05.25	Racing - Newells Old Boys	1:0 ✺
28.04.25	Defensa y Justicia - Racing	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	Colo-Colo - Racing	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.04.25	Racing - Central Córdoba	1:0 ✺
14.04.25	Aldosivi - Racing	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
10.04.25	Racing - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:2

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