Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16

Date: 2 May 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Juan Domingo Perón (Avellaneda)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Racing		Newells Old Boys

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	4.33	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.4
	1.88	3.6	3.95
	1.88	3.66	4.3
	1.88	3.62	4.13	Watch
	1.92	3.6	3.94	Watch
	1.88	3.6	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.54)	3.57 ↓ (4.1)	4 ↓ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing
49.6%

Draw
26.6%

Newells Old Boys
23.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

22.9%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

24.4%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Racing's form might have worsened.

Newells Old Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newells Old Boys's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing than the current prediction. (+15.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Racing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newells Old Boys than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newells Old Boys, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	4.2%	12.5%

Racing - Newells Old Boys Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Racing (1.78) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Users Predictions: Racing will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Racing will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Newells Old Boys (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Arias G. (C) 3. Di Cesare M. 13. Sosa S. 2. Garcia A. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 5. Nardoni J. 26. Sanchez R. 19. Rodriguez I. 28. Solari S. 9. Adrian Martinez 24. Fernandez A.	1. Navas K. (C) 4. Montero A. 6. Salcedo S. 18. Victor Cuesta 23. Martino A. 5. Banega E. 2. Jacob T. 26. Mendez J. 20. Maroni G. 21. Herrera L. 32. Gonzalez C.
Substitutes
32. Almendra A. E. 16. Barrios M. 25. Cambeses F. (G) 23. Colombo N. 41. Degregorio R. M. 40. Fraga F. 20. German Conti 34. Mura F. 35. Quiros S. 7. Salas M. 10. Vietto L.	17. Acuna V. 7. Cardozo F. 38. Chiaverano G. 9. Garcia J. 16. Gigena T. 13. Guch F. 44. Pereira A. 30. Reinatti J. (G) 46. Saman J. 3. Sosa L. 34. Sotelo D. 25. Tabares A.
Coaches
Costas G.	Fabbiani C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Fernandez A. 🟨,
35', Sosa S. 🟨,
45+1', Sosa S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Mendez J. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
46', Victor Cuesta 🟨,
52', Montero A. 🟨,
61', Fernandez A. ↓, Salas M. ↑,
64', Sanchez R. ↓, Almendra A. E. ↑,
65', Montero A. ↓, Acuna V. ↑,
65', Maroni G. ↓, Chiaverano G. ↑,
67', Herrera L. 🟨,
67', Martino A. 🟨,
80', Herrera L. ↓, Sotelo D. ↑,
81', Martirena Torres G. N. ↓, Mura F. ↑,
81', Nardoni J. ↓, Barrios M. ↑,
82', Solari S. ↓, Degregorio R. M. ↑,
84', Jacob T. ↓, Gigena T. ↑,
86', Chiaverano G. 🟨,
87', Fabbiani C. 🟨,
87', 1 - 0, Banega E. (Own goal),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).

Racing is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Racing won 3.

Racing is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Newells Old Boys has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Newells Old Boys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Racing is the team to beat.

There will not play in Racing: Quiros S. (Knock) Zuculini B. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Newells Old Boys: Hoyos L. (Knee Injury) Luciano M. (Inactive) Regiardo L. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Newells Old Boys: Silvetti M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Racing won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:23. (average 1.2:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Racing won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.1:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.04.25	Defensa y Justicia - Racing	1:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	Colo-Colo - Racing	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.04.25	Racing - Central Córdoba	1:0 ✺
14.04.25	Aldosivi - Racing	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.04.25	Racing - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTWWL
- Newells Old Boys
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.04.25	Newells Old Boys - Huracán Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Unión Santa Fe - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Newells Old Boys - Argentinos Juniors	0:0 ✺
07.04.25	Tigre - Newells Old Boys	0:2 ✺
Copa Argentina
03.04.25	Newells Old Boys - Kimberley de Mar del Plata	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
16.08.24	Newells Old Boys - Racing	0:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
12.02.24	Newells Old Boys - Racing	0:4
20.09.23	Racing - Newells Old Boys	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.04.23	Racing - Newells Old Boys	0:1
16.07.22	Newells Old Boys - Racing	0:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
24.04.22	Racing - Newells Old Boys	0:0
Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.08.21	Racing - Newells Old Boys	2:0

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