Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 15

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Norberto Tito Tomaghello (Gobernador Julio A. Costa)

Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
China	K-Ball
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Defensa y Justicia		Racing

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	2.1	Watch
	3.7	3.1	2.1
	3.3	3.3	2.15
	3.4	3.35	2.21
	3.69	3.07	2.21	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.3
	3.29	3.54	2.13	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.81)	3.27 ↓ (3.36)	2.17 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Defensa y Justicia
27.8%

Draw
28.8%

Racing
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.8%

28.2%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

28.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Defensa y Justicia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Defensa y Justicia's form might have worsened.

Racing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Racing's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensa y Justicia than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Defensa y Justicia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Racing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Defensa y Justicia - Racing Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Defensa y Justicia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Racing will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Racing (1.30) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Racing (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Bologna E. (G) 14. Cannavo E. 28. Aguilera E. 34. Delgado R. 15. Perez D. 20. Gonzalez L. 5. Gutierrez K. (C) 8. Perez C. 26. Gonzalez F. 7. Osorio A. 11. Togni G.	21. Arias G. (C) 34. Mura F. 3. Di Cesare M. 23. Colombo N. 27. Rojas G. 5. Nardoni J. 13. Sosa S. 32. Almendra A. E. 10. Vietto L. 77. Balboa A. 7. Salas M.
Substitutes
6. Ferreira L. 18. Galvan I. 29. Gonzalez G. 24. Gonzalez M. 31. La Roza U. 16. Larralde V. 1. Masuero F. (G) 9. Miritello J. B. 10. Molinas A. 38. Rubio T. 35. Schamine B. 22. Sosa S.	16. Barrios M. 25. Cambeses F. (G) 41. Degregorio R. M. 24. Fernandez A. 2. Garcia A. 20. German Conti 49. Gonzalez D. 15. Martirena Torres G. N. 19. Rodriguez I. 26. Sanchez R. 28. Solari S. 11. Zaracho M.
Coaches
de Muner P.	Costas G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2', Colombo N. 🟨,
23', Delgado R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Cannavo E. ↓, Ferreira L. ↑,
52', Nardoni J. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Gonzalez F. ⚽, Gonzalez L. (A),
58', Di Cesare M. 🟨,
59', Gonzalez L. ↓, Molinas A. ↑,
61', Almendra A. E. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
61', Vietto L. ↓, Solari S. ↑,
69', Mura F. ↓, Martirena Torres G. N. ↑,
69', Nardoni J. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
72', 1 - 1, Salas M. ⚽, Fernandez A. (A),
74', Salas M. 🟨,
82', Perez C. ↓, Larralde V. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, Martirena Torres G. N. ⚽, Salas M. (A),
88', Gonzalez F. ↓, Miritello J. B. ↑,
90+1', Balboa A. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 0.

Defensa y Justicia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Racing is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Racing will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in Defensa y Justicia: Balanta K. (Injury) Barbona D. (Knee Injury) Franco L. (Knee Injury) Sosa M. (Injury) Soto A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Racing: Adrian Martinez (Yellow Cards) Nardoni J. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Racing: Zuculini B. (Injury)

Last 14 head-to-head matches Defensa y Justicia won 3 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 24:24 (average 1.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Defensa y Justicia won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15:15 (average 1.9:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Defensa y Justicia
Copa Sudamericana
24.04.25	Universidad Católica del Ecuador - Defensa y Justicia	3:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.04.25	Huracán Buenos Aires - Defensa y Justicia	1:1 ✺
14.04.25	Defensa y Justicia - Unión Santa Fe	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
10.04.25	Defensa y Justicia - Vitória Salvador	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.04.25	Argentinos Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTTTL
- Racing Club de Avellaneda
Copa Libertadores
22.04.25	Colo-Colo - Racing	1:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.04.25	Racing - Central Córdoba	1:0 ✺
14.04.25	Aldosivi - Racing	0:2 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.04.25	Racing - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:2 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
06.04.25	Racing - Banfield	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.10.24	Racing - Defensa y Justicia	4:3
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
16.03.24	Racing - Defensa y Justicia	1:1
01.11.23	Defensa y Justicia - Racing	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
28.05.23	Defensa y Justicia - Racing	1:1
05.10.22	Defensa y Justicia - Racing	3:3
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
17.02.22	Defensa y Justicia - Racing	2:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.10.21	Racing - Defensa y Justicia	1:2

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