Match Info

PORTUGAL: LIGA 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 7

Date: 31 March 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Atlético CP		Braga B

	1	X	2
	2.25	3	2.85
	2.35	3	2.95
	2.5	3.2	3.06
	2.5	3.11	3.06
	2.37	3.08	2.86
	2.24	3.1	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.15)	3.08 ↓ (3.19)	2.95 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético CP
38.9%

Draw
29.9%

Braga B
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

29.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

29.3%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético CP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Braga B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braga B than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lemos F. (G) 31. Paulinho 6. Costa J. 26. Freitas J. 77. Pala F. 8. Goncalves Ferreira F. G. 21. Morgado T. 48. Pipas Filipe 29. Dinamite D. 17. Silva D. 95. Marcelo P.	31. Bernardo (G) 46. Junior M. 73. Ze Pedro 63. Beirao R. 61. Eiro 66. Moreira V. (C) 90. Soumare E. H. 55. Chissumba 80. Vasconcelos 59. Said Y. 99. Kauan Kelvin
Substitutes
9. Balotelli 20. Daniel Almeida . Gomes Pinheiro E. 3. Jesus J. 19. Martins T. 70. Pinhao N. (G) 88. Pinto P. 7. Rosario T. 24. Ventosa H.	68. Cunha N. 75. Jean-Marie M. 76. Marques T. 40. Matos J. 86. Rei R. 50. Rodrigues D. 97. Rodrigues D. 58. Vilela M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Kauan Kelvin ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Eiro ↓, Marques T. ↑,
61', Kauan Kelvin ↓, Jean-Marie M. ↑,
62', Morgado T. ↓, Gomes Pinheiro E. ↑,
63', Silva D. ↓, Balotelli ↑,
73', Marcelo P. ↓, Rosario T. ↑,
73', Pipas Filipe ↓, Pinto P. ↑,
77', 0 - 2, Jean-Marie M. ⚽,
79', Said Y. ↓, Rodrigues D. ↑,
79', Vasconcelos ↓, Rei R. ↑,
83', Freitas J. ↓, Daniel Almeida ↑,
87', Chissumba ↓, Matos J. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético CP won 1.

Atlético CP is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Braga B is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Atlético CP won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético CP won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
17.03.24	Lusitânia - Atlético CP	3:1 ✺
10.03.24	Atlético CP - Académica Coimbra	1:3 ✺
02.03.24	Covilhã - Atlético CP	2:2 ✺
25.02.24	Atlético CP - Varzim	2:0 ✺
18.02.24	Alverca - Atlético CP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTWL
- Braga B
Portuguese Liga 3
17.03.24	Braga B - Felgueiras	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Braga B - Lusitânia	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Académica Coimbra - Braga B	0:3 ✺
24.02.24	Braga B - Covilhã	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Varzim - Braga B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
10.04.16	Atlético CP - Braga B	1:2
29.11.15	Braga B - Atlético CP	0:0
01.03.15	Atlético CP - Braga B	1:1
21.09.14	Braga B - Atlético CP	4:2
02.03.14	Atlético CP - Braga B	1:0
23.10.13	Braga B - Atlético CP	2:1
12.04.13	Atlético CP - Braga B	1:2

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