Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 10

Date: 19 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Tapadinha (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Atlético CP		Varzim

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.2	3.5
	2.18	3.2	3.05
	2.29	3.23	3.28
	2.26	3.19	3.24	Watch
	2.19	3.08	3.15
	2.18	3.2	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.2)	3.18 ↑ (2.95)	3.21 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético CP
42.4%

Draw
28.9%

Varzim
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

30.8%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

30%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Varzim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varzim than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Atlético CP - Varzim Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Varzim (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Varzim (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Varzim (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ribeiro L. (G) 31. Paulinho 4. Henriques D. 20. Gonzalez F. 29. Dinamite D. 28. Cruz H. 10. Caleb 60. Marques R. 11. Franco E. 14. Joaozinho 7. Barandas M.	51. Momo Mbaye (G) 3. Nuno P. 25. Chicao 4. Henriques L. 23. Monteiro J. 8. Oliveira R. 22. Araujo C. 85. Rebelo M. 19. Lopes A. 80. Gomes A. 99. Moshood M.
Substitutes
23. Almeida B. 99. Caldeira M. 5. Durand V. 45. Junior T. 77. Mendes J. 22. Pinheiro E. 88. Pinto P. 17. Silva D. 13. Talison	49. Costa P. (G) 14. Graca H. 70. Lapas Montenegro L. M. 5. Milhazes A. 10. Pereira N. 2. Pimenta G. 7. Ribeiro R. M. 17. Sequeira D. 9. Silva Nhaga I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', 0 - 1, Moshood M. ⚽,
61', Barandas M. ↓, Silva D. ↑,
66', 0 - 2, Oliveira R. ⚽,
70', Gomes A. ↓, Graca H. ↑,
77', Rebelo M. ↓, Ribeiro R. M. ↑,
77', Araujo C. ↓, Lapas Montenegro L. M. ↑,
77', Marques R. ↓, Mendes J. ↑,
90+2', Sequeira D. 🟥,

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 6).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Atlético CP will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético CP won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético CP won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 2.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
13.04.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Atlético CP	2:1 ✺
05.04.25	Atlético CP - Belenenses	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	1 Dezembro - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Atlético CP - Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Amarante - Atlético CP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LTWTL
- Varzim SC
Portuguese Liga 3
12.04.25	Varzim - Lusitânia	4:0 ✺
06.04.25	Amarante - Varzim	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Fafe - Varzim	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Varzim - 1 Dezembro	2:0 ✺
09.03.25	Varzim - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
22.02.25	Varzim - Atlético CP	2:1
20.04.24	Varzim - Atlético CP	1:1
25.02.24	Atlético CP - Varzim	2:0
Portuguese Liga 2
13.02.16	Varzim - Atlético CP	3:2
12.09.15	Atlético CP - Varzim	3:1

Atlético CP - Varzim: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide