Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CATARINENSE - ROUND 6

Date: 9 February 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Catarinense		Joinville

	1	X	2
	3.4	2.75	2.15
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	3.65	2.72	2.25
	3.48	2.98	2.16
	3.4	2.85	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.79)	2.84 ↑ (2.59)	2.19 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Catarinense
26.5%

Draw
32%

Joinville
41.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.3%

34.7%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

34.3%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Catarinense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Catarinense's form might have worsened.

Joinville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Joinville's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Catarinense than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Catarinense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Joinville, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	70%	0%

Atlético Catarinense - Joinville Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. A Catarinense will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Atlético Catarinense has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Joinville is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Joinville will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Catarinense
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
05.02.23	Atlético Catarinense - Hercílio Luz	0:1 ✺
26.01.23	Barra Santa Catarina - Atlético Catarinense	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Camboriú - Atlético Catarinense	1:0 ✺
19.01.23	Atlético Catarinense - Brusque	0:0 ✺
14.01.23	Figueirense - Atlético Catarinense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTL
- Joinville
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
05.02.23	Joinville - Barra Santa Catarina	0:0 ✺
26.01.23	Joinville - Brusque	0:1 ✺
21.01.23	Figueirense - Joinville	1:1 ✺
18.01.23	Joinville - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:0 ✺
14.01.23	Camboriú - Joinville	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLTTT

Atlético Catarinense - Joinville

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Atlético Catarinense - Joinville Predictions

Preview

Form

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