Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 7

Date: 8 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Domingão (Horizonte)


	Atlético Cearense		Santa Cruz de Natal

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	1.98
	3.5	3.1	2.05
	3.54	2.98	2.02
	3.53	2.98	2.03
	3.54	3.24	1.98
	3.5	3.1	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.48)	3.07 ↓ (3.6)	2.02 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Cearense
25.7%

Draw
29.5%

Santa Cruz de Natal
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

25.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

24.1%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Cearense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Cearense than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz de Natal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Cearense - Santa Cruz de Natal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Recent matches Atlético Cearense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Santa Cruz de Natal is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Santa Cruz de Natal will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Cearense
Brazilian Serie D
02.06.24	Sousa - Atlético Cearense	2:3 ✺
25.05.24	Atlético Cearense - Treze	0:2 ✺
18.05.24	Atlético Cearense - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
11.05.24	Iguatu - Atlético Cearense	1:0 ✺
05.05.24	América RN - Atlético Cearense	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 WLWLL
- Santa Cruz de Natal
Brazilian Serie D
01.06.24	Santa Cruz de Natal - Maracanã	1:0 ✺
26.05.24	Potiguar - Santa Cruz de Natal	1:2 ✺
18.05.24	Santa Cruz de Natal - Sousa	2:0 ✺
11.05.24	Santa Cruz de Natal - América RN	3:2 ✺
03.05.24	Iguatu - Santa Cruz de Natal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WWWWL

Atlético Cearense - Santa Cruz de Natal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide