Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 33

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Atlético Central		La Palma

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	4.8
	1.59	3.75	4.9
	1.59	3.7	4.8
	1.48	4.13	5.89	Watch
	1.57	3.72	5.17
	1.59	3.75	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.43)	3.8 ↓ (4.08)	5.08 ↓ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Central
58.2%

Draw
23.9%

La Palma
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

22.3%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

21%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Central's form might have worsened.

La Palma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Central than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Palma than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Atlético Central - La Palma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Gomez J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
66', 1 - 1, Becke M. ⚽,
78', 1 - 2, Vargas D. ⚽,
90+4', 2 - 2, Gabi ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Atlético Central is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

La Palma has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Atlético Central is the undisputed favorite.

We predict that Atlético Central will win today's game, with odds of 1.43.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Atlético Central won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Central
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
01.05.25	Atlético Central - Puente Genil	2:2 ✺
27.04.25	Ciudad de Lucena - Atlético Central	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Atlético Central - Ceuta B	5:0 ✺
05.04.25	Conil - Atlético Central	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Atlético Central - Utrera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 TTWWW
- La Palma CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
01.05.25	Tomares - La Palma	3:1 ✺
27.04.25	La Palma - Puente Genil	0:1 ✺
13.04.25	Coria CF - La Palma	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	La Palma - Ciudad de Lucena	3:2 ✺
30.03.25	Córdoba B - La Palma	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
22.12.24	La Palma - Atlético Central	3:0

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