Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2026, Sunday


	Atlético Central		Utrera

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	4.15
	1.76	3.35	4.51
	4.39	1.36	8.34	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4
	1.71	3.34	4.6
	1.76	3.33	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.69)	3 ↓ (3.4)	4.99 ↑ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Central
46%

Draw
33.7%

Utrera
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

26.7%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

26.2%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Central's form might have worsened.

Utrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Central than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Central, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Atlético Central - Utrera Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Central (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, Atlético Central is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Central won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 0.8:0.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Central won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	CD Utrera	5	4	0	1	7:5	2	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Atlético Central
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
01.02.26	Atlético Central - Cadiz CF B	2:0 ✺
25.01.26	Ciudad de Lucena - Atlético Central	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Atlético Central - Bollullos	2:0 ✺
14.01.26	Linense - Atlético Central	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Atlético Central - Sevilla C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLWLW
- CD Utrera
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
01.02.26	Utrera - Dos Hermanas	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Cadiz CF B - Utrera	2:1 ✺
18.01.26	Utrera - Ciudad de Lucena	2:1 ✺
11.01.26	Utrera - Bollullos	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sevilla C - Utrera	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
05.10.25	Utrera - Atlético Central	0:0
25.05.25	Utrera - Atlético Central	1:1 ET
18.05.25	Atlético Central - Utrera	1:0
30.03.25	Atlético Central - Utrera	1:0
17.11.24	Utrera - Atlético Central	0:1

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