The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético Chiriquí 26.6%
Draw 29.4%
Plaza Amador 44%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.3%
29.4%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
26.8%
34.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Chiriquí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Chiriquí's form might have worsened.
Plaza Amador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Plaza Amador's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Chiriquí than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Chiriquí, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Amador than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Plaza Amador, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chiriquí won 0.
Recent matches Chiriquí is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Plaza Amador is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Chiriquí could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Plaza Amador will have a mini benefit in this match.
Last 11 head-to-head matches Chiriquí won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7-17.
Including matches at home between the teams Chiriquí won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.