The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Plaza Amador 49.7%
Draw 27%
Árabe Unido 23.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
39.9%
28.3%
31.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
28.6%
31.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Plaza Amador has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Plaza Amador's performance.
Árabe Unido has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Árabe Unido might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Plaza Amador than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Plaza Amador that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Árabe Unido than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Árabe Unido could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Plaza Amador - Árabe Unido Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
45. Lozano E. (G) 18. Rodriguez J. 4. Sanchez J. 3. Cordoba O. 21. Murillo D. 20. Murillo J. 16. Yearwood R. 14. Knight A. 22. Walters K. 13. Rose E. 7. Sanchez J.
12. Mosquera K. (G) 3. Llerena O. 14. Dupuy C. 94. Chara G. 19. Harrison J. 26. Reefer O. 47. Graham R. 13. Cooper A. 20. Collymore R. 8. Breary M. 10. Palacios A.
Substitutes
1. Castaneda S. (G) 5. Cordoba F. 31. Davis E. 15. Murillo Y. 19. Quintero A. 27. Rios H. 30. Ryce A. 12. Taivez J. 17. Valencia A. 25. Walder K.
99. Burgess R. 27. Ceballos M. 90. Collymore A. 7. Espada J. 28. Filos J. 16. Jimenez Abdiel 35. Jimenez J. 11. McClean F. 18. Penalba O. 1. Polo R. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Murillo D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Graham R. ↓, Burgess R. ↑,
61', Murillo J. ↓, Cordoba F. ↑,
63', Cordoba O. 🟨,
64', Llerena O. ↓, Filos J. ↑,
70', Sanchez J. 🟨,
70', Sanchez J. ↓, Rios H. ↑,
70', Walters K. ↓, Walder K. ↑,
76', Walder K. 🟨,
78', Rose E. ↓, Quintero A. ↑,
78', Murillo D. ↓, Ryce A. ↑,
83', Ryce A. 🟨,
84', Cooper A. 🟨,
87', Collymore R. 🟨,
89', Reefer O. ↓, Collymore A. ↑,
89', Reefer O. ↓, Collymore A. ↑,
90+2', Quintero A. 🟨,
90+5', Collymore A. 🟨,
90+6', 2 - 0, Rios H. ⚽,
Preview
Postponed due to natural disaster.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Plaza Amador won 3.
Plaza Amador is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Árabe Unido is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Árabe Unido could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Plaza Amador is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Plaza Amador has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:20 (averaging 1.4:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Plaza Amador against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:10 goals (averaging 1:1.1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Plaza Amador - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 39.93%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
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Lozano E. (G) 
Chara G. 
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