Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 18

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Piura)


	Atlético Grau		Cantolao

	1	X	2
	1.29	6	8.5	Watch
	1.25	5.5	8
	1.24	6	9.5
	1.24	6.27	11
	1.2	5.5	12
	1.22	6.45	12	Watch
	1.26	5.6	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.34)	5.9 ↑ (4.6)	10.03 ↑ (7.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Grau
74.9%

Draw
15.8%

Cantolao
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

19.8%

12%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6%

17.3%

13.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético Grau's performance.

Cantolao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Grau that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Atlético Grau - Cantolao Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Cantolao will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Fernandez R. (G) 25. Mora O. 31. Caballero E. 13. Franco D. 17. Milesi A. 14. Alvarez L. 22. Lopez J. 3. Tejada M. 30. Moyano A. 11. Bandiera N. 24. Salinas R.	23. Limousin C. (G) 25. Carmona G. 3. Sanchez A. 18. Acosta M. 55. Duclos F. 19. Tamariz A. 26. Vargas J. 5. Guarderas R. 20. Ramirez D. 22. Sanchez C. 33. Leyes G.
Substitutes
2. Ampuero A. 10. de la Cruz P. 4. F. Rojas 18. Godos F. 9. Marquez F. 6. Rodas E. 15. Rostaing J. 21. Ruiz Ordinola R. P. (G) 16. Vivanco P.	9. Espinoza Torres R. 30. Huerto J. 29. Lojas S. 50. Lozada J. (G) 4. Moreira F. 14. Regalado I.
Coaches
Ahmed D.	Malvestiti E.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 19).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Cantolao could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Grau is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Grau won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Grau won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
27.05.23	Alianza Atlético - Atlético Grau	3:2 ✺
21.05.23	Atlético Grau - Cienciano	4:0 ✺
13.05.23	Carlos A. Mannucci - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Sport Huancayo - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	Atlético Grau - Cusco	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLW
- AD Cantolao
Peruvian Liga 1
26.05.23	Cantolao - Deportivo Garcilaso	1:1 ✺
20.05.23	ADT Tarma - Cantolao	1:1 ✺
16.05.23	Cantolao - Sport Boys	0:0 ✺
05.05.23	Cantolao - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	FBC Melgar - Cantolao	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
26.07.22	Cantolao - Atlético Grau	1:2
26.02.22	Atlético Grau - Cantolao	1:0
30.10.20	Cantolao - Atlético Grau	0:0
29.02.20	Cantolao - Atlético Grau	1:0

Atlético Grau - Cantolao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide