Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 17

Date: 26 May 2023, Friday

Location: Estadio Miguel Grau (Callao)


	Cantolao		Deportivo Garcilaso

	1	X	2
	3.8	4	1.83	Watch
	3.3	3.3	1.95
	3.45	3.55	2
	3.24	3.5	1.93
	3.4	3.25	2
	3.52	3.56	2.03	Watch
	3.4	3.5	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.44 ↑ (2.55)	3.52 ↑ (3.3)	1.96 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cantolao
26.8%

Draw
26.2%

Deportivo Garcilaso
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

28.1%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

27.6%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cantolao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cantolao's form might have worsened.

Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Garcilaso's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cantolao, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Garcilaso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

Cantolao - Deportivo Garcilaso Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Cantolao will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Limousin C. (C) 25. Carmona G. 3. Sanchez A. 55. Duclos F. 30. Huerto J. 26. Vargas J. 20. Ramirez D. 18. Acosta M. 7. Vergara H. 33. Leyes G. 19. Tamariz A.	21. Barbieri J. (G) 24. Caraza C. 3. Rambal A. 13. Lojas J. (C) 7. Gomez A. 20. Parodi J. 30. Quevedo K. 10. Rojas J. 17. Obeso J. 28. Dioses D. 32. Giordana S.
Substitutes
11. Carnero A. 9. Espinoza Torres R. 16. Gonzales P. 29. Lojas S. 50. Lozada J. (G) 4. Moreira F. 14. Regalado I. 28. Salas S. 27. Velasco S.	9. Aguirre W. 27. Bazan J. 11. Betancourt J. 15. Mendez P. 4. Olaya A. 25. Paucar E. 29. Ramirez M. (G) 2. Salazar H. 97. Tito R.
Coaches
Malvestiti E.	Celico J.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 19 and 7).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Deportivo Garcilaso will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Cantolao
Peruvian Liga 1
20.05.23	ADT Tarma - Cantolao	1:1 ✺
16.05.23	Cantolao - Sport Boys	0:0 ✺
05.05.23	Cantolao - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	FBC Melgar - Cantolao	5:0 ✺
22.04.23	Cantolao - Carlos A. Mannucci	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 TTWLL
- Deportivo Garcilaso
Peruvian Liga 1
20.05.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Alianza Atlético	3:2 ✺
15.05.23	FBC Melgar - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:4 ✺
06.05.23	Cienciano - Deportivo Garcilaso	0:0 ✺
29.04.23	Deportivo Garcilaso - Sport Huancayo	1:1 ✺
23.04.23	Cusco - Deportivo Garcilaso	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.9 WWTTL

Cantolao - Deportivo Garcilaso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide