Match Info

PERU: LIGA 1 - APERTURA - ROUND 16

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Unión Tarma (Tarma)


	ADT Tarma		Cantolao

	1	X	2
	1.25	6	13	Watch
	1.21	6	9.5
	1.22	5.75	12
	1.21	6.17	15.31
	1.22	5.8	10
	1.21	6.55	12.75	Watch
	1.22	6	11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.36)	6.04 ↑ (4.6)	11.94 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

ADT Tarma
76.7%

Draw
15.5%

Cantolao
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.8%

20%

12.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

11.1%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ADT Tarma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in ADT Tarma's performance.

Cantolao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ADT Tarma than the current prediction. (-38.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with ADT Tarma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cantolao than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cantolao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

ADT Tarma - Cantolao Predictions

Users Predictions: ADT Tarma will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 19).

The competitors look crappy now.

ADT could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match ADT is absolute favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches ADT won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams ADT won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ADT Tarma
Peruvian Liga 1
12.05.23	Escuela Municipal Binacional - ADT Tarma	1:0 ✺
06.05.23	Alianza Atlético - ADT Tarma	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	ADT Tarma - Cienciano	3:4 ✺
22.04.23	Sport Huancayo - ADT Tarma	1:3 ✺
16.04.23	ADT Tarma - Cusco	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LTLWL
- AD Cantolao
Peruvian Liga 1
16.05.23	Cantolao - Sport Boys	0:0 ✺
05.05.23	Cantolao - Escuela Municipal Binacional	1:0 ✺
29.04.23	FBC Melgar - Cantolao	5:0 ✺
22.04.23	Cantolao - Carlos A. Mannucci	0:2 ✺
15.04.23	Alianza Lima - Cantolao	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
23.10.22	ADT Tarma - Cantolao	2:1
26.06.22	Cantolao - ADT Tarma	3:0

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