Match Info

Liga 1 - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Campeones del 36 (Sullana)

Referee: Cartagena J. (Per)

Where to Watch on TV:


Peru	Liga 1 Play, Movistar TV App
Usa	Fanatiz


	Atlético Grau		Cienciano

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3	Watch
	2.5	2.95	2.6
	2.32	3.1	3.1	Watch
	2.35	3.2	3.26
	2.37	3.11	3.12	Watch
	2.3	3	3
	2.35	3.04	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.67)	3.09 ↑ (2.93)	3.03 ↑ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Grau
39.4%

Draw
30.1%

Cienciano
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

31.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

32.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Grau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Cienciano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cienciano than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Atlético Grau - Cienciano Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Grau will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Cienciano will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez P. (C) 4. Rodriguez D. 27. Tapia R. 16. Ataupillco J. 6. Rodas E. 66. de la Cruz A. 5. Guarderas R. 10. de la Cruz P. 22. Neira C. 20. Vasquez A. 24. Ruidiaz Y.	1. Falcon G. (G) 13. Nunez C. (C) 26. Aguilar R. 27. Yovera A. 25. Salazar R. 8. Aguirre G. 39. Caparo H. 16. Martinich M. 14. Cavero S. 11. Bandiera N. 19. Succar M.
Substitutes
25. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 33. Calderon A. (G) 19. Camargo I. 21. Correa E. 11. Delgadillo N. 29. Franco E. 13. Oncoy F. 9. Ruidiaz R. 3. Tapia I.	88. Barreto G. 31. Espinoza Gomes I. (G) 21. Garces C. 10. Hohberg A. 18. La Torre D. 29. Robles A. 37. Rojas A. 17. Sandoval R. 7. Souza Espana C.
Coaches
Ameli G.	Melgarejo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', Aguilar R. 🟨,
13', Cavero S. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Vasquez A. ⚽, Ruidiaz Y. (A),
36', Ataupillco J. 🟨,
40', Nunez C. 🟨,
45+3', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Martinich M. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
46', Aguilar R. ↓, Souza Espana C. ↑,
46', Bandiera N. ↓, Barreto G. ↑,
46', Salazar R. ↓, Garces C. ↑,
46', Cavero S. ↓, Hohberg A. ↑,
61', Barreto G. 🟨,
62', Vasquez A. ↓, Delgadillo N. ↑,
62', Ruidiaz Y. ↓, Ruidiaz R. ↑,
64', 1 - 1, Succar M. ⚽,
76', de la Cruz P. ↓, Franco E. ↑,
76', Neira C. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
88', de la Cruz A. ↓, Correa E. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 2, Hohberg A. ⚽, Garces C. (A),
90+9', Garces C. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grau won 0.

Recent form of Grau has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cienciano's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Grau may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Grau: Acevedo L. (Red Card)

There will not play in Cienciano: Amondarain M. (Red Card) Arias Fierro S. D. (Lower Back Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Grau won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Grau won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Grau	11	5	2	4	14:13	1	17
12	Cienciano	11	3	2	6	14:18	-4	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
02.05.26	ADT Tarma - Atlético Grau	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Atlético Grau - Alianza Lima	0:1 ✺
22.04.26	Atlético Grau - Sporting Cristal	4:1 ✺
17.04.26	Los Chankas - Atlético Grau	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Alianza Atlético - Atlético Grau	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWLT
- Cienciano
Copa Sudamericana
05.05.26	Academia Puerto Cabello - Cienciano	3:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
02.05.26	Cienciano - Comerciantes Unidos	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.26	Cienciano - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
26.04.26	Cajamarca - Cienciano	2:2 ✺
23.04.26	Los Chankas - Cienciano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 1
24.08.25	Cienciano - Atlético Grau	1:0
05.04.25	Atlético Grau - Cienciano	1:1
17.08.24	Cienciano - Atlético Grau	1:0
09.03.24	Atlético Grau - Cienciano	1:1
30.09.23	Cienciano - Atlético Grau	2:0
21.05.23	Atlético Grau - Cienciano	4:0
20.08.22	Cienciano - Atlético Grau	2:2

Atlético Grau - Cienciano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide