Match Info

Copa Sudamericana - Group Stage - Round 1

Date: 2 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alejandro Villanueva (Lima)

Referee: Guerrero G. (Ecu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Asia	beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Paramount+
Canada	beIN Connect
China	K-Ball
Colombia	ESPN 3
Indonesia	Mola TV
Italy	Como TV
South-america	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	DSports 1
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DSports 1, Inter
World	Disney+


	Atlético Grau		Godoy Cruz

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.2	2.4	Watch
	3.1	3	2.4
	3	3.1	2.4	Watch
	3.15	3.14	2.41	Watch
	3	2.9	2.4	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.41	Watch
	3	3.1	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.68)	3.08 ↑ (2.98)	2.4 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Network on TV: beIN SPORTS 8

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Grau
30.6%

Draw
30.4%

Godoy Cruz
39%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

31.7%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

32.2%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Godoy Cruz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Godoy Cruz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Godoy Cruz than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Godoy Cruz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Grau - Godoy Cruz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvarez P. (G) 15. Rostaing J. 27. Tapia R. 13. Franco D. 6. Rodas E. 8. Soto D. 5. Guarderas R. 7. Garro J. 10. de la Cruz P. 11. Bandiera N. 9. Sandoval T.	1. Petroli F. (G) 29. Jara L. 25. Poggi V. 26. Mendoza M. 2. Rossi T. 21. Meli A. 27. Andino S. 32. Abrego G. 13. Fernandez N. 41. Altamira F. 31. Auzmendi A.
Substitutes
14. Bolivar J. 2. Cavagna F. 26. Flores A. 16. F. Rojas 12. Fuentes A. (G) 29. Garcia B. 22. Herrera Joel 17. Reyes J. 28. Solis A. 18. Trelles A. 20. Vasquez A. 25. Vilca R.	4. Arce L. 77. Dupuy L. 17. Gonzalez M. 5. Leyes B. 3. Moran J. 20. Parzajuk K. 35. Pascual L. 10. Pozzo T. A. 6. Quiroz L. 12. Ramirez R. (G) 23. Rasmussen F. 24. Yanez B.
Coaches
Comizzo A.	Solari E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Mendoza M. ⚽, Abrego G. (A),
22', de la Cruz P. ↓, Herrera Joel ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, Fernandez N. ⚽, Andino S. (A),
60', Herrera Joel 🟨,
64', Abrego G. ↓, Leyes B. ↑,
64', Fernandez N. ↓, Yanez B. ↑,
73', Sandoval T. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
74', Garro J. ↓, Vilca R. ↑,
74', Altamira F. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
74', Andino S. ↓, Pascual L. ↑,
79', Auzmendi A. ↓, Parzajuk K. ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Godoy Cruz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Grau
Peruvian Liga 1
27.03.25	Comerciantes Unidos - Atlético Grau	2:2 ✺
10.03.25	Atlético Grau - Los Chankas	2:1 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
06.03.25	Atlético Grau - Cusco	1:0 penalties ✺
Peruvian Liga 1
28.02.25	Deportivo Garcilaso - Atlético Grau	2:0 ✺
15.02.25	ADT Tarma - Atlético Grau	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWWLL
- Godoy Cruz
Argentinian Liga Profesional
29.03.25	Independiente - Godoy Cruz	4:0 ✺
22.03.25	Godoy Cruz - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
14.03.25	Godoy Cruz - San Lorenzo	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Instituto Córdoba - Godoy Cruz	1:1 ✺
03.03.25	Barracas Central - Godoy Cruz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTTTW

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