The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Garcilaso 61.4%
Draw 24.3%
Atlético Grau 14.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.4%
28.6%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.6%
27.4%
20.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Garcilaso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deportivo Garcilaso's performance.
Atlético Grau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Grau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Garcilaso than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deportivo Garcilaso that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Grau than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Grau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Deportivo Garcilaso - Atlético Grau Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportivo Garcilaso will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Grau will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zubczuk P. (C) 55. Canales E. 2. Salazar A. 19. Gomez A. 23. Moreno X. 18. Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 8. Gonzalez A. 11. Arancibia F. 10. Sandoval K. 30. Da Silva B. 9. Castelli F.
1. Alvarez P. (C) 8. Vasquez C. 13. Oncoy F. 3. Tapia I. 6. Rodas E. 5. Guarderas R. 77. Da Luz M. 15. Lavandeira Hernandez P. 7. Barreto D. 10. de la Cruz P. 9. Ruidiaz R.
Substitutes
27. Ascues A. 31. Barbieri J. (G) 6. Flores C. M. 35. Mendoza J. 24. Olivares C. 88. Pacheco F. 22. Portales J. 17. Ramirez S. 20. Rosell Delgado J. A.
25. Alfaro Martinez G. E. 16. Ataupillco J. 96. Benites Vargas L. E. 33. Calderon A. (G) 21. Correa E. 99. Fernandez A. 4. Rodriguez D. 24. Ruidiaz Y. 20. Vasquez A.
Coaches
Greppo L.
Ameli G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Gomez A. 🟨,
30', 1 - 0, Da Silva B. ⚽, Castelli F. (A),
34', Vasquez C. 🟨,
45', Moreno X. 🟨,
45', Ameli G. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Barreto D. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
46', Da Luz M. ↓, Alfaro Martinez G. E. ↑,
47', Rodas E. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Castelli F. ⚽, Arancibia F. (A),
59', Ruidiaz R. 🟨,
68', 3 - 0, Gonzalez A. (Penalty Awarded),
69', Ruidiaz R. ↓, Vasquez A. ↑,
70', Lavandeira Hernandez P. ↓, Correa E. ↑,
70', Castelli F. ↓, Olivares C. ↑,
70', Sandoval K. ↓, Ascues A. ↑,
70', Da Silva B. ↓, Pacheco F. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Fernandez A. ⚽, de la Cruz P. (A),
77', Rodas E. ↓, Benites Vargas L. E. ↑,
80', 3 - 2, Fernandez A. ⚽,
89', 4 - 2, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Ascues A. (A),
90+3', Arancibia F. ↓, Ramirez S. ↑,
90+5', Tapia I. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 1 (Play Offs: ) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1.
Deportivo Garcilaso is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Grau is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Grau may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Deportivo Garcilaso is the team to beat.
We predict that Deportivo Garcilaso will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Garcilaso won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Garcilaso won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
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Zubczuk P. (C) 
Gomez A. 
Ramos Rodriguez C. I. 
Gonzalez A. 
Arancibia F. 
Barreto D. 
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