Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - APERTURA - ROUND 7

Date: 30 August 2023, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Guaycura (La Paz)

Referee: Rangel E. (Mex)


	Atlético La Paz		Cimarrones de Sonora

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.04	3.5	3.2
	2.23	3.64	3.12
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.13	3.56	3.08	Watch
	2.17	3.5	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.06)	3.5 ↓ (3.63)	3.06 ↓ (3.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético La Paz
43.3%

Draw
26.4%

Cimarrones de Sonora
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

25.9%

28.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

25.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Cimarrones de Sonora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	55.6%	22.2%

Atlético La Paz - Cimarrones de Sonora Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Cimarrones de Sonora will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Estrada J. (G) 17. Vazquez I. 4. Alvarez K. (C) 3. Justo A. 8. Benitez M. 28. Zurita Jimenez U. 13. Alaffita Garcia E. J. 5. Perez L. 12. Gomez Del Rosal N. 27. Gutierrez L. 33. Perez E.	30. Espinoza G. (G) 23. Reyes J. 24. Rodriguez J. 13. Saavedra J. (C) 3. Manriquez S. 6. Arellano A. 17. Cisneros D. 20. Navarro B. 14. Monarrez F. 21. Lopez F. 7. Peralta J.
Substitutes
25. Aguilar Gonzalez P. A. (G) 14. Gurrola J. 29. Ibarra M. 19. Jaimes U. 6. Martin A. 11. Morales L. 9. Ochoa A. 21. Palma M. 2. Ruiz P. 30. Sandoval H.	33. Angulo O. 28. Bernal A. 25. Castro E. (G) 5. Haro J. 11. Jimenez D. 111. Molina P. 172. Orrantia E. 19. Ortiz C. 18. Rodriguez Leyva C. S. 2. Vazquez Garza H. A.
Coaches
Duran J.	Hernandez R.

Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Cimarrones de Sonora could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Atlético La Paz will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético La Paz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético La Paz won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.08.23	Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG	3:0 ✺
16.08.23	Atlante - Atlético La Paz	3:0 ✺
11.08.23	Venados - Atlético La Paz	1:3 ✺
06.08.23	Atlético La Paz - Tapatío	2:2 ✺
30.07.23	Dorados - Atlético La Paz	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WLWTW
- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
23.08.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	4:2 ✺
18.08.23	Tlaxcala - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:2 ✺
13.08.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlante	0:0 ✺
05.08.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Dorados	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Leones Negros UdeG - Cimarrones de Sonora	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
01.02.23	Atlético La Paz - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:2
30.08.22	Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlético La Paz	4:0

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