Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 5

Date: 29 August 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Guaycura (La Paz)

Referee: Cruz Garatachea F. (Mex)


	Atlético La Paz		Dorados

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.8	3.7
	1.85	3.8	3.45
	2.29	3.95	2.91
	2.20	3.43	3.08	Watch
	1.7	3.8	3.8
	1.85	3.85	3.54	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.69)	3.77 ↓ (4.05)	3.41 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético La Paz
48.1%

Draw
24.6%

Dorados
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

22.8%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético La Paz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético La Paz's form might have worsened.

Dorados has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético La Paz - Dorados Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético La Paz (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Dorados (2.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético La Paz (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dorados (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Estrada J. (G) 13. Alaffita Garcia E. J. 92. Alvarez D. 10. Barragan M. (C) 5. Bass A. 27. Garcia G. 25. Illescas F. 12. Millan O. 15. Torres H. 2. Vazquez S. 28. Zurita Jimenez U.	30. Vaal J. (G) 7. Alvarez J. 20. Araujo D. 8. Cortes J. 11. Garcia L. 3. Manriquez S. 33. Parra R. 9. Rengifo J. 4. Ruiz L. 27. Sanchez E. (C) 23. Vargas L.
Substitutes
33. Alcala G. (G) 17. Chiu L. 16. Del Aguila Y. 22. Flores R. 14. Galindo A. 8. Gutierrez L. 6. Hernandez D. 19. Jaimes U. 11. Renteria R. 26. Yanez J.	10. Bonilla E. 12. Egana A. 15. Galicia C. 18. Higuera C. (G) 16. Martinez D. 24. Ramirez A. 14. Sol M. 26. Valenzuela A. 19. Vazquez D. 25. Velazco E.
Coaches
Castillo H.	Saucedo C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Barragan M. ⚽, Alaffita Garcia E. J. (A),
30', Parra R. 🟨,
44', Garcia G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Cortes J. ↓, Sol M. ↑,
47', Vazquez S. 🟨,
57', 2 - 0, Millan O. ⚽, Alvarez D. (A),
63', Rengifo J. ↓, Egana A. ↑,
63', Araujo D. ↓, Velazco E. ↑,
65', Vazquez S. ↓, Del Aguila Y. ↑,
69', 🟨,
71', Sanchez E. ↓, Vazquez D. ↑,
72', Alaffita Garcia E. J. ↓, Gutierrez L. ↑,
72', Alvarez D. ↓, Hernandez D. ↑,
72', Bass A. ↓, Flores R. ↑,
75', 3 - 0, Millan O. ⚽, Hernandez D. (A),
79', Alvarez J. ↓, Valenzuela A. ↑,
85', Barragan M. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
90+1', Garcia L. 🟨,
90+5', 3 - 1, Vargas L. ⚽, Egana A. (A),

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 11)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 2.

In this match, Atlético La Paz is seen as the favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 0.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.08.25	Venados - Atlético La Paz	3:3 ✺
15.08.25	Atlético La Paz - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:2 ✺
08.08.25	Atlético La Paz - Correcaminos UAT	1:1 ✺
03.08.25	Tapatío - Atlético La Paz	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	Cancún - Atlético La Paz	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLTLL
- Dorados de Sinaloa
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
22.08.25	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Dorados	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Dorados - Venados	1:0 ✺
08.08.25	Mineros de Zacatecas - Dorados	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Dorados - Cancún	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Dorados	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
11.04.25	Atlético La Paz - Dorados	0:0
26.10.24	Dorados - Atlético La Paz	4:0
22.02.24	Atlético La Paz - Dorados	1:0
30.07.23	Dorados - Atlético La Paz	3:4
21.03.23	Atlético La Paz - Dorados	1:1
19.07.22	Dorados - Atlético La Paz	1:0

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