The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlante 66%
Draw 20%
Atlético La Paz 14%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
70%
18.4%
11.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.6%
17.7%
11.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Atlante - Atlético La Paz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Beltran R. (G) 22. Calzadilla L. 6. Carrera J. N. 15. Charcopa J. 3. Cruz D. 27. Escobar A. 13. Garcia Pardo M. 21. Ibarra J. 34. Jimenez E. 5. Meza H. (C) 9. Puente L.
33. Alcala G. (G) 13. Alaffita Garcia E. J. 10. Barragan M. (C) 16. Del Aguila Y. 27. Garcia G. 25. Illescas F. 12. Millan O. 21. Robles C. 15. Torres H. 26. Yanez J. 28. Zurita Jimenez U.
Substitutes
10. Alonzo J. 1. Barragan R. (G) 18. Bermudez C. 25. Coubert R. 7. Garcia M. 16. Gonzalez J. 8. Gonzalez R. 19. Gonzalez S. 24. Pizzuto E. 20. Tovar J.
92. Alvarez D. 9. Ferrer J. 1. Moreno C. (G) 11. Renteria R. 30. Robles A. 8. Soto A. 2. Vazquez S.
Coaches
Carbajal R.
Castillo H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Robles C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Garcia G. 🟨,
55', Illescas F. ↓, Robles A. ↑,
55', Yanez J. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
61', Ibarra J. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
61', Puente L. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
62', Millan O. ↓, Ferrer J. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Ferrer J. ⚽, Barragan M. (A),
75', Cruz D. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Charcopa J. ⚽, Carrera J. N. (A),
78', Charcopa J. 🟨,
81', Alaffita Garcia E. J. 🟨,
83', Charcopa J. ↓, Bermudez C. ↑,
83', Jimenez E. ↓, Coubert R. ↑,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
In this match, Atlante is the obvious favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 21:3. (average 3:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:0. (average 3.7:0).