Match Info

MEXICO: LIGA DE EXPANSION MX - APERTURA - PLAY OFFS - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 15 November 2023, Wednesday


	Cimarrones de Sonora		Atlante

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	2.85	2.55
	2.7	2.95	2.7	Watch
	2.91	2.9	2.81
	2.95	2.83	2.85
	2.6	2.8	2.6
	2.72	3.02	2.62
	2.7	3	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.66)	2.91 ↓ (3.21)	2.68 ↓ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cimarrones de Sonora
33.7%

Draw
31.8%

Atlante
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

29.7%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

31%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cimarrones de Sonora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cimarrones de Sonora than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	85.7%	14.3%

Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlante Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Atlante will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Espinoza G. (G) 3. Manriquez S. 4. Monreal E. 23. Reyes J. 24. Rodriguez J. 6. Arellano A. 14. Monarrez F. 17. Cisneros D. 21. Lopez F. 7. Peralta J. 11. Jimenez D.	20. Hernandez H. (G) 3. Cruz D. 4. Sanchez J. 27. Escobar A. 28. Elbis 5. Meza H. 7. Partida E. 11. Lajud Martinez D. 14. Gonzalez R. 18. Bermudez C. 34. Jimenez E.
Substitutes
8. Acuna F. 25. Castro E. (G) 16. Lopez D. 99. Melendez J. 111. Molina P. 20. Navarro B. 172. Orrantia E. 19. Ortiz C. 18. Rodriguez Leyva C. S. 13. Saavedra J.	15. Cantu E. 9. Duran R. 31. Forastiero N. (G) 13. Garcia Pardo M. 22. Machado J. 16. Martinez J. 33. Ovelar F. 2. Ramirez F. 6. Velazquez M. 21. Villarreal S.
Coaches
Hernandez R.	Garcia M.

Preview

1st leg.

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 2.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Cimarrones de Sonora won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Cimarrones de Sonora won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cimarrones de Sonora
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
28.10.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Venados	4:1 ✺
24.10.23	Mineros de Zacatecas - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:2 ✺
13.10.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Correcaminos UAT	0:1 ✺
05.10.23	Tapatío - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:2 ✺
26.09.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlético Morelia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTLWW
- Atlante FC
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
31.10.23	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlante	0:3 ✺
26.10.23	Atlante - Cancún	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Atlético Morelia - Atlante	0:1 ✺
30.09.23	Atlante - Tapatío	1:1 ✺
21.09.23	Atlante - Venados	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
13.08.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlante	0:0
24.01.23	Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlante	1:0
08.09.22	Atlante - Cimarrones de Sonora	2:2
13.03.22	Atlante - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1
11.08.21	Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlante	2:0
13.01.21	Cimarrones de Sonora - Atlante	1:1
16.09.20	Atlante - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:0

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