The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Atlético La Paz 41.1%
Draw 26.2%
Leones Negros UdeG 32.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.4%
26.7%
33.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.8%
26.4%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Leones Negros UdeG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leones Negros UdeG than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Atlético La Paz - Leones Negros UdeG Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Leones Negros UdeG will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Alcala G. (G) 13. Alaffita Garcia E. J. 10. Barragan M. 27. Garcia G. 25. Illescas F. 12. Millan O. 30. Robles A. 21. Robles C. 15. Torres H. 7. Vazquez I. 28. Zurita Jimenez U.
25. Cantu Rodriguez O. M. (G) 24. Aguayo J. 6. Cisneros C. 28. De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. 20. Flores B. 3. Flores L. 88. Gonzalez O. 34. Hernandez S. A. 18. Munoz D. 11. Perez J. 2. Sanchez J.
Substitutes
92. Alvarez D. 24. Cota A. 22. Daccarett J. 23. Estrada J. (G) 19. Jaimes U. 11. Renteria R. 3. Rodriguez G. 8. Soto A. 2. Vazquez S.
10. Brigido J. 9. Camacho Lastra R. E. 22. Gil O. 93. Lara M. 4. Ledesma A. 7. Rivera E. 86. Torres D. 87. Valenzuela M. 98. Venegas S. 12. Villa O.
Coaches
Castillo H.
Sosa L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Cisneros C. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Robles A. ↓, Renteria R. ↑,
52', Cisneros C. 🟨,
59', De Jesus Bravo Santiago A. ↓, Villa O. ↑,
67', Hernandez S. A. ↓, Brigido J. ↑,
68', Perez J. ↓, Gil O. ↑,
69', Zurita Jimenez U. ↓, Vazquez S. ↑,
69', Vazquez I. ↓, Alvarez D. ↑,
79', 1 - 0, Alaffita Garcia E. J. ⚽, Alvarez D. (A),
80', Gonzalez O. ↓, Valenzuela M. ↑,
82', Vazquez S. 🟨,
83', Millan O. ↓, Jaimes U. ↑,
85', 2 - 0, Jaimes U. ⚽, Renteria R. (A),
88', 3 - 0, Jaimes U. ⚽, Alaffita Garcia E. J. (A),
89', Illescas F. ↓, Soto A. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 2.
Atlético La Paz has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Leones Negros UdeG has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Atlético La Paz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Atlético La Paz has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 2.1:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Leones Negros
11
7
2
2
27:16
11
23
3
Atletico La Paz
11
6
2
3
24:13
11
20
Last Results with these Odds
Atlético La Paz - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.4%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Alcala G. (G) 
Rodriguez G. 
Gil O. 
Castillo H. 
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