Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 1

Date: 9 January 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Guaycura (La Paz)

Referee: Miranda E. (Mex)


	Atlético La Paz		Tapatío

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.28	3.55	2.68
	2.29	3.81	2.74	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.63
	2.31	3.54	2.83	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.32)	3.56 ↑ (3.45)	2.7 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético La Paz
40.3%

Draw
25.8%

Tapatío
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

26.5%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Atlético La Paz - Tapatío Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tapatío (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Atlético La Paz (1.85) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético La Paz (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tapatío (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Alcala G. (G) 13. Alaffita Garcia E. J. 92. Alvarez D. 10. Barragan M. (C) 25. Illescas F. 12. Millan O. 21. Robles C. 8. Soto A. 15. Torres H. 7. Vazquez I. 26. Yanez J.	201. Liceaga J. (G) 67. Aguayo S. 54. Freyfeld E. 66. Guzman Rodriguez J. L. 192. Hernandez C. 48. Jimenez L. 60. Ledesma L. 49. Moragrega V. 62. Tellez B. 69. Villaseca D. 44. Zamora S. (C)
Substitutes
17. Chiu L. 24. Cota A. 22. Daccarett J. 23. Estrada J. (G) 14. Galindo A. 131. Lopez R. 3. Rodriguez G. 2. Vazquez S.	200. Corona C. 46. Egurrola L. 55. Esparza S. 198. Latorre D. 51. Leyva Cortes A. A. (G) 43. Parra R. 195. Rosales D. 58. Uribe J.
Coaches
Castillo H.	Melendez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Villaseca D. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Illescas F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', Aguayo S. 🟨,
51', Freyfeld E. 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Moragrega V. (Penalty Awarded),
57', Alvarez D. ↓, Vazquez S. ↑,
59', Alaffita Garcia E. J. 🟨,
62', Villaseca D. 🟨,
64', Vazquez S. 🟨,
69', Villaseca D. ↓, Uribe J. ↑,
72', Aguayo S. 🟨,
72', Moragrega V. 🟨,
75', Barragan M. 🟨,
79', Moragrega V. ↓, Esparza S. ↑,
80', Yanez J. 🟨,
81', Guzman Rodriguez J. L. ↓, Latorre D. ↑,
88', Tellez B. ↓, Parra R. ↑,
90', 2 - 2, Barragan M. ⚽, Vazquez S. (A),
90+3', Latorre D. 🟨,
90+4', Yanez J. ↓, Chiu L. ↑,
90+7', Zamora S. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 2.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atlético La Paz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético La Paz won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 3:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Atletico La Paz	11	6	2	3	24:13	11	20
10	Tapatio	10	4	2	4	17:15	2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
07.11.25	Atlético La Paz - Atlante	0:6 ✺
01.11.25	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético La Paz	0:1 ✺
24.10.25	Atlético La Paz - Irapuato	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Jaiba Brava - Atlético La Paz	3:2 ✺
10.10.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Atlético La Paz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWTLT
- CD Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
09.11.25	Tapatío - Dorados	4:1 ✺
31.10.25	Irapuato - Tapatío	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Tapatío - Mineros de Zacatecas	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Atlético Morelia - Tapatío	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Tapatío - Alebrijes de Oaxaca	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
03.08.25	Tapatío - Atlético La Paz	2:0
28.02.25	Atlético La Paz - Tapatío	4:1
15.09.24	Tapatío - Atlético La Paz	1:0
01.02.24	Tapatío - Atlético La Paz	0:2
06.08.23	Atlético La Paz - Tapatío	2:2
29.01.23	Tapatío - Atlético La Paz	2:0
12.10.22	Atlético La Paz - Tapatío	3:2

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