Match Info

Date: 23 August 2022, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Guaycura (La Paz)

Referee: Barba A. (Mex)


	Atlético La Paz		Raya2 Expansión

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.23	3.1	2.9
	2.09	3.05	3.25
	2.17	3.13	3.78
	2.1	2.88	3.5
	2.1	3.1	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.56)	3.04 ↓ (3.15)	3.37 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético La Paz
43%

Draw
30%

Raya2 Expansión
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

28.8%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9%

28.3%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlético La Paz's performance.

Raya2 Expansión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Raya2 Expansión might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético La Paz than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético La Paz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raya2 Expansión than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Raya2 Expansión could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	41.7%	25%

Atlético La Paz - Raya2 Expansión Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Atlético La Paz will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). Raya2 Expansión will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Atlético La Paz is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Raya2 Expansión is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
16.08.22	Mineros de Zacatecas - Atlético La Paz	2:1 ✺
09.08.22	Atlético La Paz - Tlaxcala	2:2 ✺
02.08.22	Cancún - Atlético La Paz	2:0 ✺
26.07.22	Atlético La Paz - Celaya	0:0 ✺
19.07.22	Dorados - Atlético La Paz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LTLTL
- Raya2 Expansión
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
16.08.22	Raya2 Expansión - Venados	1:2 ✺
11.08.22	Tapatío - Raya2 Expansión	1:1 ✺
03.08.22	Raya2 Expansión - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
27.07.22	Tlaxcala - Raya2 Expansión	1:1 ✺
20.07.22	Raya2 Expansión - Atlante	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTTTT

Atlético La Paz - Raya2 Expansión: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide