Match Info

MEXICO: Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 6

Date: 12 February 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Guaycura (La Paz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	ESPN 4
World	Disney+


	Atlético La Paz		Celaya

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.4	3.7	1.63
	4.91	4.21	1.64
	4.87	4.03	1.64	Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.62
	4.88	4.1	1.58	Watch
	4.4	3.7	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.66 ↓ (4.99)	3.92 ↓ (3.97)	1.62 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético La Paz
19.8%

Draw
23.5%

Celaya
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.3%

23.1%

58.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético La Paz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Celaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Atlético La Paz - Celaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Alcala G. (G) 13. Alaffita Garcia E. J. (C) 16. Del Aguila Y. 9. Ferrer J. 27. Garcia G. 12. Gomez Del Rosal N. 6. Hernandez D. 15. Torres H. 7. Vazquez I. 3. Zamudio J. 28. Zurita Jimenez U.	1. Hernandez H. (G) 22. Baltazar C. 7. Barragan M. 6. Del Angel E. 8. de los Santos L. 10. Dominguez A. (C) 28. Gamboa J. 21. Hernandez P. 3. Monreal E. 4. Munoz J. 20. Tovar J.
Substitutes
5. Acero I. 25. Aguilar P. (G) 32. Arana J. 24. Cota A. 22. Flores R. 14. Galindo A. 21. Gonzalez M. 10. Hernandez E. 11. Renteria R. 26. Yanez J.	25. Blanco D. 2. Cervantes D. 156. Chaurand K. 29. Espinoza G. (G) 30. Kassi A. 9. Sanchez A. 11. Tejeda D. 5. Topete N.
Coaches
Rico R.	Blanco Soto S. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Barragan M. ⚽,
35', Zurita Jimenez U. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Gomez Del Rosal N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Torres H. ↓, Flores R. ↑,
64', Zamudio J. ↓, Galindo A. ↑,
64', Alaffita Garcia E. J. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
65', 1 - 2, Monreal E. ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, Gomez Del Rosal N. ⚽, Hernandez D. (A),
73', Hernandez D. 🟨,
77', Gamboa J. ↓, Tejeda D. ↑,
77', Gomez Del Rosal N. ↓, Arana J. ↑,
77', Zurita Jimenez U. ↓, Yanez J. ↑,
80', Garcia G. 🟨,
85', Del Angel E. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
89', 2 - 3, Baltazar C. ⚽,
90', Barragan M. ↓, Cervantes D. ↑,
90+2', Del Aguila Y. 🟨,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 and 10).

Atlético La Paz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Celaya is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético La Paz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:14 (average 1.2:2.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético La Paz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético La Paz
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
07.02.25	Venados - Atlético La Paz	2:1 ✺
24.01.25	Atlético La Paz - Correcaminos UAT	1:1 ✺
18.01.25	Atlante - Atlético La Paz	5:0 ✺
10.01.25	Atlético La Paz - Tlaxcala	4:4 ✺
01.11.24	Atlético La Paz - Cancún	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLTT
- Atlético Celaya
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
08.02.25	Celaya - Correcaminos UAT	4:1 ✺
01.02.25	Dorados - Celaya	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Celaya - Venados	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	Atlante - Celaya	3:0 ✺
23.11.24	Tapatío - Celaya	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
31.08.24	Celaya - Atlético La Paz	5:0
17.01.24	Celaya - Atlético La Paz	4:2
26.07.23	Atlético La Paz - Celaya	2:1
19.04.23	Celaya - Atlético La Paz	4:2
26.07.22	Atlético La Paz - Celaya	0:0

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