Match Info

Date: 11 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Estadio Akron (Zapopan)

Referee: Hernandez Andrade K. (Mex)


	Tapatío		Raya2 Expansión

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.7
	2.48	3	2.65
	2.44	3.05	2.7
	2.66	3.19	2.82
	2.3	2.9	3
	2.51	3.13	2.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.14)	3.04 ↓ (3.14)	2.76 ↓ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tapatío
36.9%

Draw
30%

Raya2 Expansión
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

29.9%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

33.2%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tapatío has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tapatío's form might have worsened.

Raya2 Expansión has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Raya2 Expansión's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tapatío than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tapatío, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Raya2 Expansión than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Raya2 Expansión, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	26.7%	53.3%

Tapatío - Raya2 Expansión Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Tapatío will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Raya2 Expansión will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Raya2 Expansión: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Recent matches Tapatío is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Raya2 Expansión is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Raya2 Expansión could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tapatío won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Tapatío won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tapatío
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
03.08.22	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Tapatío	4:0 ✺
31.07.22	Tapatío - Leones Negros UdeG	0:2 ✺
20.07.22	Celaya - Tapatío	2:0 ✺
14.07.22	Tapatío - Atlético Morelia	2:0 ✺
06.07.22	Mineros de Zacatecas - Tapatío	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LLLWW
- Raya2 Expansión
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
03.08.22	Raya2 Expansión - Cimarrones de Sonora	1:1 ✺
27.07.22	Tlaxcala - Raya2 Expansión	1:1 ✺
20.07.22	Raya2 Expansión - Atlante	0:0 ✺
13.07.22	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Raya2 Expansión	1:2 ✺
05.07.22	Cancún - Raya2 Expansión	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 TTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
15.04.22	Tapatío - Raya2 Expansión	1:2

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