Match Info

LaLiga - Round 12

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid)

Referee: Manzano J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
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Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
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Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
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Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
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Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DSports 1
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Atlético Madrid		Levante

	1	X	2
	1.22	7	11	Watch
	1.21	6.9	12.5	Watch
	1.23	7.2	12.5
	1.26	7.09	12.6	Watch
	1.22	5.5	13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.23 ↑ (1.22)	6.74 ↑ (6.33)	12.32 ↓ (12.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid
78%

Draw
14.2%

Levante
7.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

77.7%

14.9%

7.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.4%	7.3%	7.3%

Atlético Madrid - Levante Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.75 - Atlético (1.79) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - draw (4.47) (votes: 0 - 0%) .

Users Predictions: Atlético Madrid will win (35 of 41 users predict this - 85.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.55% – 96.19%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Atlético Madrid will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Levante (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Oblak J. (G) 14. Llorente M. 2. Gimenez J. M. 17. Hancko D. 3. Ruggeri M. 20. Simeone G. 6. Koke (C) 8. Barrios P. 10. Baena A. 9. Sorloth A. 19. Alvarez J.	13. Ryan M. (G) 22. Toljan J. 4. Dela 2. Moreno M. 23. Sanchez M. 24. Alvarez C. 5. Elgezabal U. 16. Arriaga K. 8. Olasagasti J. A. 7. Brugue R. (C) 21. Etta Eyong
Substitutes
11. Almada T. 5. Cardoso J. 21. Galan J. 4. Gallagher C. 23. Gonzalez N. 7. Griezmann A. 15. Lenglet C. 12. Martin C. 16. Molina N. 1. Musso J. (G) 18. Pubill M. 22. Raspadori G.	14. Cabello J. 1. Cunat P. (G) 17. Garcia V. 15. Koyalipou G. 18. Losada I. 3. Matturro A. 11. Morales J. 32. Primo A. (G) 20. Rey O. 9. Romero I. 6. Varela Pampin D.
Coaches
Simeone D.	Calero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, Dela (Own goal),
21', 1 - 1, Sanchez M. ⚽, Olasagasti J. A. (A),
40', Olasagasti J. A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', Sorloth A. ↓, Almada T. ↑,
61', Barrios P. ↓, Griezmann A. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Griezmann A. ⚽, Llorente M. (A),
73', Simeone G. ↓, Gonzalez N. ↑,
73', Olasagasti J. A. ↓, Koyalipou G. ↑,
74', Brugue R. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
79', Ruggeri M. ↓, Molina N. ↑,
79', Baena A. ↓, Gallagher C. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Griezmann A. ⚽,
84', Molina N. 🟨,
85', Elgezabal U. ↓, Rey O. ↑,
86', Sanchez M. ↓, Matturro A. ↑,
86', Toljan J. ↓, Garcia V. ↑,
87', Llorente M. 🟨,
90', Gimenez J. M. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 1.

Atlético is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Levante has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Atlético may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Atlético is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Atlético: Le Normand R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Levante: Espi C. (Hamstring Injury) Martinez P. (Ankle Injury) Vencedor U. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Atlético: Gonzalez N. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid
UEFA Champions League
04.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Saint-Gilloise	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
01.11.25	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	3:0 ✺
27.10.25	Betis - Atlético Madrid	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.10.25	Arsenal - Atlético Madrid	4:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
18.10.25	Atlético Madrid - Osasuna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLW
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga
02.11.25	Levante - Celta de Vigo	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Orihuela - Levante	3:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.10.25	Mallorca - Levante	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Levante - Rayo Vallecano	0:3 ✺
Club Friendly
13.10.25	Leganés - Levante	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
18.01.23	Levante - Atlético Madrid	0:2
Spanish LaLiga
16.02.22	Atlético Madrid - Levante	0:1
28.10.21	Levante - Atlético Madrid	2:2
20.02.21	Atlético Madrid - Levante	0:2
17.02.21	Levante - Atlético Madrid	1:1
23.06.20	Levante - Atlético Madrid	0:1
04.01.20	Atlético Madrid - Levante	2:1

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