Match Info

LaLiga - Round 9

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadi Ciutat de València (Valencia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Maximo 3
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sports 2, Silk Sport 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Macao	Macau Cable TV 35 Sports
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Sky Sport
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN 2, DAZN / App
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	Voyo
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, DAZN LaLiga, LaLiga TV Bar
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, LaLiga TV, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 1
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter
Vietnam	K+, SCTV 15


	Levante		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.63	Watch
	2.72	3.45	2.52	Watch
	2.86	3.4	2.62
	100.00	17.00	1.00	Watch
	2.89	3.49	2.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	22.24 ↑ (2.81)	6.12 ↑ (3.5)	2.28 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Levante
6.9%

Draw
25.2%

Rayo Vallecano
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

27.3%

38.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

28.9%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Levante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-27.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Levante's form might have worsened.

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+29.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rayo Vallecano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Levante than the current prediction. (+25.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Levante, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-26.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.6%	46.5%	41.9%

Levante - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Levante will win (votes: 5 - 11.9%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 17 - 40.5%). It will Tie (votes: 20 - 47.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 32.5% – 62.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Rayo Vallecano (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 7 - 77.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ryan M. (G) 22. Toljan J. 2. Moreno M. 4. Dela 23. Sanchez M. 24. Alvarez C. 12. Vencedor U. 16. Arriaga K. 7. Brugue R. (C) 21. Etta Eyong 9. Romero I.	13. Batalla A. (G) 2. Ratiu A. 24. Lejeune F. 32. Mendy N. 3. Chavarria P. 23. Valentin O. (C) 17. Lopez U. 19. de Frutos J. 4. Diaz P. 21. Perez F. 9. Alemao
Substitutes
14. Cabello J. 1. Cunat P. (G) 5. Elgezabal U. 19. Espi C. 17. Garcia V. 15. Koyalipou G. 18. Losada I. 10. Martinez P. 11. Morales J. 8. Olasagasti J. A. 20. Rey O. 6. Varela Pampin D.	20. Balliu I. 28. Becerra S. 1. Cardenas D. (G) 6. Ciss P. 18. Garcia A. 15. Gumbau G. 40. Molina A. (G) 11. Nteka R. 22. Pacha 7. Palazon I. 8. Trejo O. 33. Vertrouwd J.
Coaches
Calero J.	Perez I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, de Frutos J. ⚽, Lopez U. (A),
25', 0 - 2, de Frutos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Diaz P. ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
63', Alemao ↓, Palazon I. ↑,
65', 0 - 3, Garcia A. ⚽, Chavarria P. (A),
74', Alvarez C. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
74', Brugue R. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
74', Vencedor U. ↓, Olasagasti J. A. ↑,
74', Etta Eyong ↓, Koyalipou G. ↑,
74', Perez F. ↓, Pacha ↑,
75', de Frutos J. ↓, Ciss P. ↑,
82', Mendy N. ↓, Gumbau G. ↑,
82', Moreno M. ↓, Morales J. ↑,
90+4', Palazon I. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Levante won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Rayo Vallecano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Levante has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Rayo Vallecano: Camello S. (Red Card) Luiz Felipe (Hamstring Injury) Mumin A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Levante: Matturro A. (Injury) Varela Pampin D. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Rayo Vallecano: Garcia A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Levante won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 25:30. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Levante won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:13. (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Levante UD
Club Friendly
13.10.25	Leganés - Levante	3:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.10.25	Real Oviedo - Levante	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Getafe - Levante	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Levante - Real Madrid	1:4 ✺
20.09.25	Girona - Levante	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 TWTLW
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
05.10.25	Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
02.10.25	Rayo Vallecano - Shkendija Tetovo	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.09.25	Rayo Vallecano - Sevilla	0:1 ✺
24.09.25	Atlético Madrid - Rayo Vallecano	3:2 ✺
21.09.25	Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
20.05.22	Rayo Vallecano - Levante	2:4
11.09.21	Levante - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
04.05.19	Levante - Rayo Vallecano	4:1
23.12.18	Rayo Vallecano - Levante	2:1
Club Friendly
13.08.17	Levante - Rayo Vallecano	Canceled
Spanish LaLiga2
06.05.17	Rayo Vallecano - Levante	2:1
14.12.16	Levante - Rayo Vallecano	1:0

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