Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 7

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Cerro del Espino (Majadahonda)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Atlético Madrid B		Ceuta

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.25
	1.95	3.1	3.4
	2.06	3.35	3.4
	2.13	3.21	3.51
	2.05	3.24	3.44	Watch
	2.09	3.39	3.39
	2.06	3.35	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.18)	3.27 ↑ (3.15)	3.4 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Madrid B
44.9%

Draw
28.1%

Ceuta
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

29.1%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

30.5%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Madrid B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Ceuta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid B than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceuta than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Atlético Madrid B - Ceuta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iturbe A. (G) 23. Gimenez C. 2. Pascual M. 12. Spina G. 3. Diaz J. 20. Belaid R. 4. Bonar J. 18. Diallo Selu M. 6. Serrano J. 24. Mollejo V. 27. Janneh O.	13. Vallejo G. (G) 7. Ahmed A. 25. Cantero Y. 6. Hernandez C. 16. Redruello Nimo C. 20. Escudero A. 21. Lopez J. 5. Bellotti M. 19. Jamelli 22. Aguero 18. El Ftouhi S.
Substitutes
30. Corral A. 11. El Jebari S. 31. Embadje F. (G) 21. Garcia A. 10. Gismera A. 17. Luque I. 9. Nino A. . Pablo Pan 19. Raihani A.	11. Aquino D. 14. Blesa Alex 15. Guzman J. 12. Herranz Corral V. 3. Lolo Gonzalez 1. Lopez P. (G) 27. Lozano D. 8. Ramos D. 9. Rodri 17. Taufek B. M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Diaz J. 🟨,
34', El Ftouhi S. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Mollejo V. ⚽,
39', Aguero 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Diaz J. ↓, Corral A. ↑,
61', Belaid R. ↓, Luque I. ↑,
62', Janneh O. ↓, Nino A. ↑,
65', Iturbe A. 🟨,
67', Lopez J. ↓, Aquino D. ↑,
67', El Ftouhi S. ↓, Rodri ↑,
67', Serrano J. ↓, Gismera A. ↑,
71', Spina G. 🟨,
72', Aguero ↓, Taufek B. M. ↑,
79', Ahmed A. 🟨,
81', Escudero A. 🟨,
82', Jamelli ↓, Blesa Alex ↑,
83', Diallo Selu M. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 1, Blesa Alex ⚽,
90+2', Mollejo V. 🟨,
90+5', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Atlético Madrid B is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ceuta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Madrid B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Atlético Madrid B will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atlético Madrid B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.5:3.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Madrid B won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Madrid B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.09.24	Fuenlabrada - Atlético Madrid B	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Atlético Madrid B - Yeclano Deportivo	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Alcorcón - Atlético Madrid B	2:3 ✺
07.09.24	Atlético Madrid B - Antequera	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Intercity - Atlético Madrid B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WTWLT
- AD Ceuta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
28.09.24	Ceuta - Recreativo Huelva	1:0 ✺
22.09.24	Betis B - Ceuta	0:0 ✺
15.09.24	Ceuta - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:2 ✺
08.09.24	Marbella - Ceuta	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Ceuta - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
18.05.24	Ceuta - Atlético Madrid B	4:0
10.09.23	Atlético Madrid B - Ceuta	1:3

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