Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 11

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday


	Atlético Monte Azul		Osasco Sporting

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.92	2.58
	2.92	3.1	2.38
	2.54	3.05	2.69	Watch
	2.88	2.9	2.4
	2.86	3.33	2.39
	3	3	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.5)	3.05 ↑ (2.9)	2.46 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Monte Azul
32.7%

Draw
30%

Osasco Sporting
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30.9%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

32.6%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Monte Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Osasco Sporting has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Monte Azul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osasco Sporting than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Osasco Sporting, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Monte Azul - Osasco Sporting Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Osasco Sporting (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Osasco Sporting (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Juninho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+1', 1 - 1, Vitor Pageu ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A2 (Second stage: )).

Monte Azul is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Osasco Sporting has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Monte Azul may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Monte Azul has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Monte Azul won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Monte Azul won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Monte Azul
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
14.02.26	Taubaté - Atlético Monte Azul	3:3 ✺
11.02.26	Grêmio Prudente - Atlético Monte Azul	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Piracicaba - Atlético Monte Azul	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Atlético Monte Azul - Votuporanguense	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	São José-SP - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TTLLT
- Osasco Sporting
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
14.02.26	São Bento - Osasco Sporting	1:2 ✺
11.02.26	Osasco Sporting - Santo André	2:1 ✺
08.02.26	Linense - Osasco Sporting	2:2 ✺
01.02.26	Osasco Sporting - CA Juventus	0:0 ✺
28.01.26	Osasco Sporting - Sertãozinho	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
07.02.24	Osasco Sporting - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1
15.01.23	Atlético Monte Azul - Osasco Sporting	1:5
14.03.21	Atlético Monte Azul - Osasco Sporting	0:1

Atlético Monte Azul - Osasco Sporting: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide