Match Info

Copa Colombia - Second stage - 1/8-finals

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio Atanasio Girardot (Medellín)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network


	Atlético Nacional		Deportivo Cali

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.10	5.75	Watch
	1.47	3.80	5.75
	1.46	4.40	6.75	Watch
	1.56	3.82	6.55
	1.51	3.66	7.82
	1.53	3.70	6.45
	1.54	4.10	5.75	Watch
	1.50	4.10	6.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.44)	3.96 ↓ (4.75)	6.35 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Nacional
61.7%

Draw
23.6%

Deportivo Cali
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

19.8%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5%

19.5%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

The chances for Deportivo Cali have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Cali than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Deportivo Cali (1.98) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Cali (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Armani F. (G) 10. Cardona E. 26. Marin F. 9. Morelos A. 7. Moreno M. 3. Parra N. 19. Rengifo J. 6. Roman A. 29. Sarmiento A. 16. Tesillo W. 33. Velasquez S.	38. Rodriguez A. (G) 4. Alvarez F. 20. Bello E. 21. Benedetti N. 15. Chaverra L. 5. Cuellar G. (C) 9. Dinenno J. 19. Martinez J. 16. Sandoval K. 28. Velasco E. 27. Viafara F.
Substitutes
17. Arango C. 22. Cabrera E. 20. Casco M. 25. Marquinez L. (G) 99. Poveda I. 15. Reyes A. 24. Rosa J. 8. Uribe M. 80. Zapata J.	70. Bacca C. 45. Botero M. 1. Gallese P. (G) 30. Gomez J. 18. Hurtado A. 10. Reynoso E. 26. Tello J. 23. Titi 35. Vallecilla S.
Coaches
Gonzalez L.	Dudamel R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Morelos A. ⚽, Sarmiento A. (A),
27', Cardona E. 🟨,
33', Parra N. 🟨,
33', Viafara F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Sandoval K. 🟨,
49', Dinenno J. 🟨,
56', 2 - 0, Moreno M. ⚽,
59', Cardona E. ↓, Zapata J. ↑,
59', Rengifo J. ↓, Uribe M. ↑,
59', Moreno M. ↓, Poveda I. ↑,
66', Bello E. ↓, Titi ↑,
66', Viafara F. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
68', Morelos A. ↓, Arango C. ↑,
73', Dinenno J. ↓, Bacca C. ↑,
73', Martinez J. ↓, Reynoso E. ↑,
81', Benedetti N. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
82', Marin F. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 0, Velasquez S. ⚽, Cabrera E. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Recently, Atlético Nacional has had a series of away games.

In this match, Atlético Nacional is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Nacional won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Nacional won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
29.08.26	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional	1:5 ✺
26.08.26	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Fortaleza CEIF - Atlético Nacional	1:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
12.08.26	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	Canceled ✺
Colombian Primera A
09.08.26	América de Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWW?L
- Deportivo Cali
Colombian Primera A
30.08.26	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:1 ✺
26.08.26	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Deportivo Cali - Inter Bogotá	2:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
12.08.26	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	Canceled ✺
Colombian Primera A
08.08.26	Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Cali	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 TLT?W

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
26.08.26	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	2:1
Colombian Copa
12.08.26	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	Canceled
Colombian Primera A
15.02.26	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:0
14.10.25	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	2:1
20.04.25	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	1:0
09.10.24	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	1:1
16.02.24	Deportivo Cali - Atlético Nacional	3:2

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