Match Info

Date: 7 September 2021, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Atlético Porteño		Gualaceo

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.45	3.3
	2.4	2.55	3.5
	2.42	2.55	3.3
	2.52	2.55	3.46
	2.55	2.7	2.9
	2.44	2.76	3.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.08)	2.59 ↓ (2.64)	3.27 ↓ (4.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Porteño
36.8%

Draw
35.2%

Gualaceo
27.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.7%

35.3%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

30.9%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Porteño's form might have worsened.

Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gualaceo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Porteño than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	53.8%	30.8%

Atlético Porteño - Gualaceo Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Atlético Porteño will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). Gualaceo will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.6% – 73%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Atlético Porteño is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gualaceo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Atlético Porteño won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Porteño won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Porteño
Ecuadorian Serie B
01.09.21	América de Quito - Atlético Porteño	4:1 ✺
25.08.21	Chacaritas - Atlético Porteño	2:1 ✺
18.08.21	Atlético Porteño - LDU Portoviejo	0:2 ✺
10.08.21	Cumbayá - Atlético Porteño	2:0 ✺
04.08.21	Atlético Porteño - Independiente Juniors	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW
- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
01.09.21	Gualaceo - Chacaritas	0:1 ✺
25.08.21	Búhos ULVR - Gualaceo	0:2 ✺
18.08.21	Gualaceo - Independiente Juniors	2:0 ✺
11.08.21	Gualaceo - El Nacional	1:0 ✺
04.08.21	LDU Portoviejo - Gualaceo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
18.07.21	Gualaceo - Atlético Porteño	4:2
25.05.21	Atlético Porteño - Gualaceo	3:1
24.03.21	Gualaceo - Atlético Porteño	3:0
16.10.20	Gualaceo - Atlético Porteño	1:1
30.08.20	Atlético Porteño - Gualaceo	2:1
19.10.19	Gualaceo - Atlético Porteño	2:1
01.09.19	Atlético Porteño - Gualaceo	1:0

Atlético Porteño - Gualaceo