Match Info

Date: 27 October 2020, Tuesday


	Atlético Porteño		Manta

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.1	2.75
	2.37	3.1	2.75
	2.47	3.22	2.87
	2.4	3	2.8
	2.41	3.18	2.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.43)	3.12 ↓ (3.14)	2.79 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Porteño
38%

Draw
29.3%

Manta
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

29.2%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

20.6%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Manta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porteño than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Atlético Porteño that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manta than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manta could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs) and 2 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs)).

Recent matches Atlético Porteño is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Manta is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Atlético Porteño could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético Porteño won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Porteño won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Porteño
Ecuadorian Serie B
21.10.20	Atlético Porteño - Fuerza Amarilla	0:0 ✺
16.10.20	Gualaceo - Atlético Porteño	1:1 ✺
09.10.20	Atlético Porteño - América de Quito	0:1 ✺
02.10.20	9 de Octubre - Atlético Porteño	2:0 ✺
25.09.20	Atlético Porteño - Chacaritas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTLLW
- Manta FC
Ecuadorian Serie B
17.10.20	Fuerza Amarilla - Manta	0:3 ✺
11.10.20	Manta - Atlético Santo Domingo	1:0 ✺
05.10.20	América de Quito - Manta	2:2 ✺
28.09.20	Manta - Independiente Juniors	1:3 ✺
17.09.20	Gualaceo - Manta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Serie B
10.09.20	Manta - Atlético Porteño	2:1
23.10.19	Manta - Atlético Porteño	1:0
25.08.19	Atlético Porteño - Manta	1:2
29.06.19	Manta - Atlético Porteño	0:0

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