Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio El Palmar (Cadiz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Atlético Sanluqueño		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.1	2.25
	2.87	3	2.25
	3	3.1	2.35
	3.11	3	2.41
	3.05	3	2.35	Watch
	3.17	3.1	2.27
	2.9	3.1	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.99)	3.06 ↓ (3.19)	2.31 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Sanluqueño
30.5%

Draw
29.9%

Real Madrid Castilla
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

28.6%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

28.8%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Sanluqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Sanluqueño than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia-Alejo R. (G) 2. Garcia A. 24. Riera R. 17. Pavon A. 3. Martinez A. 7. Colau 10. Vacas L. 19. Valverde V. 15. Cuevas A. 8. Carbonell P. 9. Valino A.	13. Fran (G) 28. Ribes K. 5. Asencio R. 3. Cuenca D. 22. Jimenez D. 26. De Llanos H. 6. Andres C. 23. Yusi 7. Garcia G. 9. Munoz V. 20. Campos A.
Substitutes
6. Calderon M. 14. El Arbaoui Y. 21. Feria J. 22. Gonzalez C. 11. Guti A. 23. Jose Enrique 18. Kikin 1. Perez S. (G) 5. Puerto A. 25. Valencia F. (G) 4. Vega A.	16. Antonio David 27. Fortuny P. 1. Pineiro del Alamo D. (G) 4. Pujol E. 29. Rivas M. 17. Ruiz D. 19. Zuniga L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Carbonell P. ⚽,
19', Campos A. ↓, Zuniga L. ↑,
32', Valino A. ↓, Guti A. ↑,
36', 1 - 1, Zuniga L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Colau ↓, Kikin ↑,
48', 1 - 2, Munoz V. ⚽,
50', Carbonell P. 🟨,
55', Martinez A. ↓, El Arbaoui Y. ↑,
55', Cuevas A. ↓, Puerto A. ↑,
61', 2 - 2, Valverde V. ⚽,
65', Vacas L. ↓, Calderon M. ↑,
69', Cuenca D. 🟨,
71', De Llanos H. ↓, Fortuny P. ↑,
76', Andres C. 🟨,
81', Kikin 🟨,
81', Asencio R. 🟨,
83', Valverde V. 🟨,
85', Yusi ↓, Ruiz D. ↑,
85', Jimenez D. ↓, Pujol E. ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Atlético Sanluqueño won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Sanluqueño won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Sanluqueño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.09.24	Ceuta - Atlético Sanluqueño	2:2 ✺
08.09.24	Sevilla B - Atlético Sanluqueño	5:2 ✺
01.09.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Mérida AD	0:3 ✺
24.08.24	Atlético Madrid B - Atlético Sanluqueño	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Xerez CD	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLLWT
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
15.09.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Betis B	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Villarreal B - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Ibiza	0:1 ✺
24.08.24	Marbella - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.08.24	Real Madrid Castilla - Gimnástica Segoviana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
20.01.24	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1
15.10.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0
13.03.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Sanluqueño	5:2
24.10.21	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Madrid Castilla	3:1

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