Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Atlético Santa Cruz		Mazarrón

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.15
	3	3	2.22
	3.03	3.06	2.26
	6.90	4.08	1.45	Watch
	3.11	3.04	2.22
	3.1	3	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↑ (3)	3.21 ↑ (3.12)	2.06 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Santa Cruz
25.4%

Draw
29.1%

Mazarrón
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

29.1%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

28.4%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Santa Cruz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Mazarrón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Santa Cruz than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mazarrón than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Atlético Santa Cruz - Mazarrón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Mendizabal I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: ))

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Mazarrón is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Santa Cruz	5	1	3	1	8:8	0	6
18	Mazarron	5	0	1	4	5:9	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Santa Cruz
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
15.03.26	El Palmar - Atlético Santa Cruz	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Atlético Santa Cruz - Deportivo Marítimo	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Unión Molinense - Atlético Santa Cruz	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Muleño - Atlético Santa Cruz	0:4 ✺
18.02.26	Atlético Santa Cruz - Santomera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWL
- Mazarrón FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
15.03.26	Mazarrón - Santomera	5:0 ✺
08.03.26	Caravaca - Mazarrón	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Mazarrón - Cieza	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Bala Azul - Mazarrón	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Mazarrón - Olímpico de Totana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTTTL

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