Match Info

Date: 2 March 2020, Monday


	Atlético Tubarão		Avaí

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.25	1.65
	5.25	3.3	1.65
	5.1	3.15	1.65
	4.93	3.18	1.63
	5.69	3.25	1.74
	4.9	3.44	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.23 ↓ (5.43)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)	1.67 ↑ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tubarão
17.4%

Draw
27.9%

Avaí
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.6%

26.5%

56.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.3%

21.3%

70.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tubarão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tubarão than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avaí could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Atlético Tubarão - Avaí Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tubarão
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
16.02.20	Concordia Chiajna - Atlético Tubarão	4:1 ✺
08.02.20	Brusque - Atlético Tubarão	1:1 ✺
03.02.20	Atlético Tubarão - Grêmio Juventus	2:1 ✺
30.01.20	Criciúma - Atlético Tubarão	0:0 ✺
26.01.20	Atlético Tubarão - Figueirense	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LTWTL
- Avaí
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
16.02.20	Avaí - Joinville	2:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.02.20	Ferroviária - Avaí	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
09.02.20	Avaí - Criciúma	0:1 ✺
02.02.20	Figueirense - Avaí	0:2 ✺
30.01.20	Avaí - Brusque	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
30.03.19	Avaí - Atlético Tubarão	2:0
10.02.19	Atlético Tubarão - Avaí	1:3
25.03.18	Atlético Tubarão - Avaí	2:1
12.02.18	Avaí - Atlético Tubarão	1:1
22.03.17	Avaí - Atlético Tubarão	3:2
05.02.17	Atlético Tubarão - Avaí	0:2

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