Match Info

Catarinense - Round 4

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)


	Figueirense		Avaí

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.05	3.6
	2.03	3.07	3.99	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.5
	2	3.04	3.7
	1.93	3	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.56)	3.01 ↓ (3.08)	3.76 ↑ (2.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
45.4%

Draw
30.3%

Avaí
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

29.7%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Figueirense's performance.

Avaí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avaí might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Figueirense - Avaí Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Figueirense will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Avaí will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Figueirense: 71.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Figueirense will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Igo Gabriel (G) 4. Anderson Conceicao 3. Douglas Bacelar 22. Ezequiel 11. Felipe Augusto 70. Igor Bolt 30. Jean Mangabeira 10. Jorginho 28. Rafinha Potiguar 88. Silvinho 66. Wesley Costa	21. Otavio Passos (G) 3. Allyson 55. Bruno Baldini 14. Daniel Penha 36. DG 10. Jean Lucas 7. Mauricio Garcez 27. Pedro Cuiaba 11. Talisson 2. Wallison 77. Ze Ricardo
Substitutes
5. Breno 98. Dudu Sampaio 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 27. Felipe Santiago 8. Flavio 33. Freitas Barreto P. C. 99. Kayke 2. Leo Maia 20. Oliveira W. 18. Raynan 79. Reifit	6. Cabral N. 4. Gabriel Simples 20. Gaspar 18. Hyan 46. Joao Bezerra 70. Josmar 72. Kaua Dias 90. Kevin 41. Leo Aragao (G) 17. Nicolas Tadesco 43. Thayllon

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
7', Igor Bolt 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Wallison ⚽,
23', 🟨,
27', Allyson 🟥,
30', Daniel Penha ↓, Gabriel Simples ↑,
39', Bruno Baldini 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 2, Talisson ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rafinha Potiguar ↓, Raynan ↑,
46', Igor Bolt ↓, Kayke ↑,
61', Jorginho ↓, Dudu Sampaio ↑,
64', Wesley Costa 🟨,
68', Wesley Costa ↓, Reifit ↑,
78', Talisson ↓, Kaua Dias ↑,
90', Ezequiel ↓, Leo Maia ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', Ze Ricardo 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 2.

Avaí may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:20. (average 1.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Figueirense won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Avaí - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.68%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
14.01.26	Brusque - Figueirense	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Figueirense - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0 ✺
07.01.26	Joinville - Figueirense	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
23.11.25	Figueirense - Joinville	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Joinville - Figueirense	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWWW
- Avaí
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
14.01.26	Avaí - Carlos Renaux	1:0 ✺
11.01.26	Criciúma - Avaí	2:1 ✺
07.01.26	Avaí - Barra Santa Catarina	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Botafogo SP - Avaí	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Avaí - Remo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
09.09.25	Figueirense - Avaí	5:0
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
05.03.25	Avaí - Figueirense	2:1 penalties
25.01.25	Avaí - Figueirense	0:1
17.02.24	Figueirense - Avaí	1:2
Brazilian Copa Santa Catarina
18.10.23	Avaí - Figueirense	1:0
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
04.02.23	Avaí - Figueirense	4:0
26.02.22	Figueirense - Avaí	4:1

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