Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 10

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Monumental Jose Fierro (Tucuman)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN Premium
Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Atlético Tucumán		Aldosivi

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.1	4.75	Watch
	1.88	3.2	4.33
	1.95	3	4.6
	1.95	3.14	4.91
	1.91	3.14	4.75	Watch
	1.85	2.9	4.5
	1.91	3.05	4.64	Watch
	1.99	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.98)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	4.54 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Tucumán
49%

Draw
30.3%

Aldosivi
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

28.9%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.8%

27.7%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Tucumán than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.6%	27.3%	9.1%

Atlético Tucumán - Aldosivi Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Atlético Tucumán will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Aldosivi will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Atlético Tucumán: 35.2% – 92%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Atlético Tucumán (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ingolotti L. (G) 3. Villa M. 26. Ferreira Namandu C. D. 20. Suso G. 36. Vallejo L. 5. Dominguez J. 8. Ham E. 28. Compagnucci G. 11. Tesuri R. (C) 10. Franco N. 35. Abeldano G.	1. Werner A. (G) 33. Zalazar N. 28. Moya S. 6. Novillo J. 4. Gonzalez R. 13. Gino F. (C) 5. Bochi R. 3. Roman F. 10. Sosa A. 19. Cordero N. 11. Palavecino A.
Substitutes
30. Brondo M. 9. Diaz L. 24. Di Placido L. 25. Durso T. (G) 6. Ferrari G. 21. Galvan I. 31. Godoy L. 23. Lamendola N. 7. Martin Benitez 45. Ortiz K. 34. Roman L. 27. Segovia A.	24. Anso F. 9. Arias J. 23. Chicco I. (G) 27. Fernandez T. 55. Garcia M. 7. Guzman N. 21. Iniguez E. 32. Leys F. 16. Morello M. 18. Rodriguez L. 8. Rolon E. 30. Villarreal A.
Coaches
Falcioni J.	Farre G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Gino F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', 1 - 1, Franco N. ⚽, Ham E. (A),
61', Franco N. ↓, Lamendola N. ↑,
65', Moya S. 🟨,
68', Sosa A. 🟥,
72', Vallejo L. 🟨,
74', Palavecino A. ↓, Guzman N. ↑,
74', Cordero N. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
78', Abeldano G. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
78', Vallejo L. ↓, Galvan I. ↑,
78', Compagnucci G. ↓, Segovia A. ↑,
81', Suso G. 🟨,
87', Diaz L. 🟨,
90', Gonzalez R. ↓, Rolon E. ↑,
90+2', Diaz L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

In this match, Atlético Tucumán is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Atlético Tucumán: Brandan M. (Calf Injury) Diaz L. (Hamstring Injury) Infante J. (Muscle Injury) Ruiz R. (Knee Injury) Segovia A. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Aldosivi: Breitenbruch N. (Knee Injury) Moyano S. (Knee Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atlético Tucumán won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:8. (average 0.9:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Tucumán won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Tucumán
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.03.26	Atlético Tucumán - Racing	0:3 ✺
24.02.26	Belgrano - Atlético Tucumán	3:1 ✺
20.02.26	Instituto Córdoba - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
14.02.26	Atlético Tucumán - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Atlético Tucumán	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.03.26	Banfield - Aldosivi	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Unión Santa Fe - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
17.02.26	Aldosivi - San Miguel	3:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
12.02.26	Tigre - Aldosivi	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Aldosivi - Rosario Central	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
15.07.22	Aldosivi - Atlético Tucumán	0:1
14.08.21	Atlético Tucumán - Aldosivi	2:2
26.08.19	Aldosivi - Atlético Tucumán	3:0
31.03.19	Atlético Tucumán - Aldosivi	1:0
20.03.17	Atlético Tucumán - Aldosivi	0:0
13.03.16	Atlético Tucumán - Aldosivi	1:1
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.03.14	Aldosivi - Atlético Tucumán	1:1

Atlético Tucumán - Aldosivi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide