Match Info

Date: 28 November 2020, Saturday


	Atlético Venezuela		Yaracuyanos

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.75	2.6
	2.5	3.05	2.5
	2.65	2.9	2.6
	2.82	2.73	2.67
	2.7	3	2.5
	2.72	3.32	2.49	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.86)	2.96 ↓ (3.1)	2.56 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Venezuela
33.8%

Draw
30.7%

Yaracuyanos
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

29%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

20.6%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Venezuela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Yaracuyanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Venezuela than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Venezuela, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yaracuyanos than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yaracuyanos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Atlético Venezuela - Yaracuyanos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Primera Division (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)).

Recent matches Atlético Venezuela is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Yaracuyanos is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Atlético Venezuela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Yaracuyanos have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Atlético Venezuela won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Venezuela won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Venezuela
Venezuelan Primera Division
24.11.20	Academia Puerto Cabello - Atlético Venezuela	2:2 ✺
22.11.20	Atlético Venezuela - Carabobo	2:0 ✺
18.11.20	Deportivo Lara - Atlético Venezuela	4:0 ✺
14.11.20	Atlético Venezuela - Mineros de Guayana	3:1 ✺
10.11.20	Atlético Venezuela - Deportivo La Guaira	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TWLWL
- Yaracuyanos
Venezuelan Primera Division
25.11.20	Yaracuyanos - Trujillanos	1:1 ✺
22.11.20	Yaracuyanos - Mineros de Guayana	0:1 ✺
17.11.20	Academia Puerto Cabello - Yaracuyanos	1:0 ✺
14.11.20	Yaracuyanos - Estudiantes de Mérida	1:1 ✺
10.11.20	Yaracuyanos - Deportivo Lara	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Primera Division
28.10.20	Yaracuyanos - Atlético Venezuela	4:2
01.02.20	Yaracuyanos - Atlético Venezuela	0:0
23.02.14	Atlético Venezuela - Yaracuyanos	2:1
25.09.13	Yaracuyanos - Atlético Venezuela	2:3
13.03.13	Atlético Venezuela - Yaracuyanos	2:1
14.10.12	Yaracuyanos - Atlético Venezuela	2:1

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